Citizen criminality assessment in lima city using the grey clustering method

Alexi Delgado
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引用次数: 16

Abstract

Citizen criminality has become an important social problem in Lima city, due to the fact that the number of crimes has increased. In this study, we conducted a citizen criminality assessment using the grey clustering method, which is based on grey systems theory. The case study was conducted on 32 districts from Lima, Peru. Consequently, a map on the citizen criminality situation was obtained. The results revealed that the more insecure districts were San Juan de Lurigancho, Los Olivos, and Cercado de Lima; and the less insecure districts were Ancón, Surquillo, and Lince. The study results could help to the central and district government to make the best decision on the citizen criminality problem. The grey clustering method showed interesting results and could be applied to other social problems, as this method considers the uncertainty within its analysis.
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利马市公民犯罪评估之灰色聚类方法
由于犯罪数量的增加,公民犯罪已经成为利马市一个重要的社会问题。本研究以灰色系统理论为基础,运用灰色聚类方法进行公民犯罪评估。案例研究是在秘鲁利马的32个地区进行的。因此,获得了关于公民犯罪情况的地图。结果显示,最不安全的地区是San Juan de Lurigancho、Los Olivos和Cercado de Lima;不太安全的地区是Ancón, Surquillo和Lince。研究结果可以帮助中央和地方政府对公民犯罪问题做出最佳决策。灰色聚类方法显示出有趣的结果,可以应用于其他社会问题,因为该方法在分析中考虑了不确定性。
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