SSCM-Based Simulation of Stock Market: Put Bounded Rational into Social and Stock Environment

Nan Lin, Xiaochao Ding, Zheng Qin
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Abstract

In this paper, we classify stock simulation environments as cognitive environment, social environment and stock environment. Stock market simulation systems are usually built based on cognitive and social environment, the simulation results are affected by the mental factors and their interaction results. Based on the past researches, this paper presents a Social Stock Competition Model (SSCM) which takes stock environment into consideration, so we can connect bounded rationality with social and stock environment. In SSCM, we simulate the organization information propaganda processes which generate stock related news. The generated news contains stock factors. Stockholder cooperate with the related stockholders in their social network, and make stock exchange decision based on these news and their relations with other stockholders. When stockholder make decision on one stock, they will compete with the other stockholders in stock market. The competition results will decide the price of the stocks.
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基于sscm的股票市场模拟:将有限理性引入社会和股票环境
本文将股票模拟环境分为认知环境、社会环境和股票环境。股票市场仿真系统通常是基于认知和社会环境构建的,仿真结果受心理因素及其相互作用结果的影响。本文在前人研究的基础上,提出了一个考虑股票环境的社会股票竞争模型,从而将有限理性与社会和股票环境联系起来。在SSCM中,我们模拟了产生股票相关新闻的组织信息宣传过程。生成的新闻包含股票因素。股东在自己的社会网络中与关联股东进行合作,并根据这些信息及其与其他股东的关系进行股票交易决策。当股东决定购买一只股票时,他们就会在股票市场上与其他股东竞争。比赛结果将决定股票的价格。
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