Peer Preference and Asset-Liability Management in InsurTech Market

C. Deng, Xizhi Su, Chao Zhou
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Abstract

Technology advances have enhanced competition in insurance industry. This paper investigates a class of dynamic asset and liability management(ALM) game among mean-variance insurers with relative log return performance. We obtain the unique explicit time-consistent equilibrium ALM strategies for both the finite non-zero-sum game and mean field game, respectively. The results show that competition leads the increases of insurers’ risky asset investment and the insurance liability. The equilibrium solution implies that “social util- ity”(relative concerns) leads to “social learning”(herd effect) in the complete information market. In particular, the peer relative concern can induce preference interaction. Finally, we find the Granger causal relationship between industry competition and herd behavior in the empirical data and conduct sensitivity analysis of the competition outcome with respect to the estimated risk parameters.
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保险科技市场的同业偏好与资产负债管理
科技进步加剧了保险业的竞争。本文研究了一类具有相对对数收益绩效的均值-方差保险公司之间的动态资产负债管理博弈。分别对有限非零和博弈和平均场博弈得到了唯一的显式时间一致均衡ALM策略。结果表明,竞争导致保险公司风险资产投资增加,保险负债增加。均衡解暗示在完全信息市场中,“社会效用”(相对关注)导致“社会学习”(羊群效应)。特别是同伴相对关注可以诱发偏好互动。最后,在实证数据中发现行业竞争与羊群行为之间存在格兰杰因果关系,并对竞争结果对估计的风险参数进行敏感性分析。
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