Group Anger of Protests in Rural China: A Simulation Study

Yuxiang Hong, Congdong Li
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Abstract

In this study, we aim to model the group anger in rural China using System Dynamics embedded by Cellular Automaton model, which can effectively describe the characteristics of the emotional behavior. The simulation model demonstrates that the group anger is much easier to be provoked in the turbulence environment, as well as that the peasants with low cognitive level would have higher group anger temperature. Besides, it also demonstrates that normalization pattern of anger governance is more effective than emergency pattern. Building on these results, we propose the policy advises on the rural governance in China.
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中国农村群体愤怒抗议:模拟研究
本研究旨在利用嵌入元胞自动机模型的系统动力学模型对中国农村群体愤怒进行建模,该模型能够有效地描述情绪行为的特征。仿真模型表明,湍流环境下群体愤怒更容易被激发,认知水平低的农民群体愤怒温度更高。此外,研究还表明,规范化的愤怒治理模式比应急模式更有效。在此基础上,提出了中国农村治理的政策建议。
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