Statistical Analysis on the Factors and Causes Affecting Maternal and Infant Mortality in Nigeria

Adesina O.A., Akinlade Y.O, Oguntola T.O, O. S.A
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Abstract

Maternal and infant deaths are devastating medical complication in many countries, in which Nigeria is not exempted. It has been realized that complication of child birth and pregnancy are leading causes of death among women of reproductive ages. Therefore, this study aimed at determining the factors responsible for maternal and infant mortality in Nigeria between 2000 and 2019. The descriptive statistics of the skewness shows that the distribution of the data is fairly symmetrical and the time plot displays a downward and gradual decreasing trend for both maternal and infant mortality over the considerable years. The trend analysis of the model produces forecast performance with percentage accuracy measures of MAPE with 3% and 2% for both maternal and infant mortality. The exploratory data analysis (EDA) of maternal and infant mortality under the study shows that the prevalence of undernourishment rate is not significant to the model at 5% level of significant. Therefore, prevalence of undernourishment rate is the major factor affecting the death of the child and mother at the child birt h. Hence, the government are hereby implored to improve on training levels of pregnant women at the antenatal stages and empowering families and communities to reduce maternal and infant deaths.
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影响尼日利亚孕产妇和婴儿死亡率的因素和原因统计分析
在许多国家,孕产妇和婴儿死亡是毁灭性的医疗并发症,尼日利亚也不能幸免。人们认识到,分娩和怀孕并发症是育龄妇女死亡的主要原因。因此,本研究旨在确定2000年至2019年期间尼日利亚孕产妇和婴儿死亡率的因素。偏度的描述性统计表明,数据的分布是相当对称的,时间图显示,在相当长的年份里,孕产妇和婴儿死亡率呈下降和逐渐下降的趋势。该模型的趋势分析产生的预测性能与MAPE的百分比准确度测量分别为3%和2%的孕产妇和婴儿死亡率。本研究下的母婴死亡率探索性数据分析(EDA)显示,营养不良患病率在5%显著水平下对模型不显著。因此,营养不良发生率是影响儿童和母亲在分娩时死亡的主要因素。因此,请政府在产前阶段提高对孕妇的培训水平,并赋予家庭和社区权力,以减少孕产妇和婴儿死亡。
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