A stochastic approach towards inclusive rural development using demographic data

P. Mukundaram, M. Pravien, P. R. Thilak
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Abstract

Technology has advanced immensely in India in the recent years but its advantage has not been wholly utilized by the rural parts of our country. Villages hold a diversified job environment where most jobs can be made highly profitable by establishing proper communication among various professions. Information awareness in cities is playing a major role in improving small scale businesses which is missing in villages. This can be achieved by using appropriate use of available technology in villages which will help us determine correlations in rural India. A demographic analysis using stochastic mechanisms focusing on specific aspects can be used to learn about villagers and target appropriate methods to improve their lifestyle by the application of technology. We attempt to extract the demographics (like age, gender, place, skill sets) of a person and find various overlaps of his/her job nature with other professionals in a specific geography. This analysis would give us insights on a lot of interrelations among the various professions which can be exploited to maximum extent so that we achieve higher levels of productivity. A stochastic approach on the demographic data can be used to achieve this and thereby we can expect an inclusive rural development. Since, there are high levels of uncertainty on a variety of parameters we go for a stochastic approach to carry out our analysis. If we take probability theory into consideration, a purely stochastic system is one which is randomly determined and also has a random probabilistic distribution. The pattern which is derived from this system can only be analyzed statistically but cannot be accurately predicted. The probabilistic patterns obtained finally would provide us insights of how rural development is being carried out in a village and what factors should we need to focus on a that village to ensure wholesome development.
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利用人口数据实现包容性农村发展的随机方法
近年来,技术在印度取得了巨大的进步,但其优势并未被我国农村地区充分利用。农村拥有多样化的工作环境,通过建立各种职业之间的适当沟通,大多数工作都可以获得高额利润。城市的信息意识在改善农村缺少的小型企业方面发挥着重要作用。这可以通过在农村适当利用现有技术来实现,这将有助于我们确定印度农村的相关性。采用侧重于具体方面的随机机制的人口分析可以用来了解村民并确定适当的方法,通过技术的应用来改善他们的生活方式。我们试图提取一个人的人口统计数据(如年龄、性别、地点、技能组合),并找到他/她的工作性质与特定地区其他专业人士的各种重叠之处。这种分析将使我们对各种职业之间的许多相互关系有深入的了解,这些相互关系可以被最大程度地利用,从而使我们达到更高的生产力水平。可以使用人口数据的随机方法来实现这一目标,从而我们可以期望实现包容性农村发展。由于各种参数都有很高的不确定性,我们采用随机方法来进行分析。如果我们考虑概率论,一个纯随机系统是一个随机确定的,也具有随机的概率分布。由该系统导出的模式只能进行统计分析,而不能准确预测。最终获得的概率模式将使我们了解一个村庄的农村发展是如何进行的,以及我们应该关注哪些因素以确保该村庄的健康发展。
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