Composite generation and transmission system reliability assessment using impact increment-based state enumeration method

K. Hou, H. Jia, Xiaodan Yu, Yawen Li, Chang Xie, Jianfeng Yan
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引用次数: 8

Abstract

An impact increment-based state enumeration (USE) method is designed to assess reliability of composite generation and transmission systems. The reliability index calculation formula of the traditional state enumeration technique is transformed into an impact increment-based formation. Based on the derived equation, the traditional state enumeration method is modified into an impact increment based one. With the proposed method, calculation of state probability are effectively simplified, and reliability indices of high accuracy can be obtained with only low order contingency states. When it is applied to composite systems, load fluctuation can also be considered by replacing impact increments with their expectations under various load levels. Case studies are performed on the RBTS system and the RTS-79 system. Results indicate that annual reliability indices can be efficiently obtained with the USE method. Comparing with traditional state enumeration and Monte Carlo simulation methods, the proposed method is more precise and efficient.
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基于冲击增量状态枚举法的发电与输电系统综合可靠性评估
设计了一种基于影响增量的状态枚举(USE)方法来评估发电和输电系统的可靠性。将传统状态枚举法的可靠性指标计算公式转化为基于影响增量的形式。在导出方程的基础上,将传统的状态枚举方法改进为基于冲击增量的状态枚举方法。该方法有效地简化了状态概率的计算,只需低阶的偶然性状态即可获得高精度的可靠性指标。当将其应用于复合系统时,也可以考虑负荷波动,将影响增量替换为不同负荷水平下的期望。对RBTS系统和RTS-79系统进行了案例研究。结果表明,使用USE方法可以有效地获得年度可靠度指标。与传统的状态枚举和蒙特卡罗仿真方法相比,该方法具有更高的精度和效率。
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