Діагностика економічної безпеки Донецького економічного регіону

Н. С. Іванова, Донецький національний університет економіки та торгівлі іме Туган-Барановського
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Abstract

To diagnose the economic security of Donetsk economic region the method of taxonomic analysis (while determining the integrated indicator of the economic security level of Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts) and the dynamic two-factor matrix "the economic security level — the strategy" have been used. The obtained results allowed the author to conclude that the situation in Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts in terms of their economic security level has deteriorated. As of the end of 2018, according to the taxonomic indicator the economic security of Donetsk Oblast is characterized as satisfactory, and the economic security of Luhansk Oblast — as unsatisfactory. The application of the matrix "the economic security level — the strategy" allowed to choose the effective economic security strategy for the study region. Thus, as of 2018, the oblasts are in the "Danger Zone", which corresponds to the transformation strategy. The results of the analysis of the approved economic development strategies of the oblasts through 2027 indicate the compliance of the defined strategic goals and operational measures to the content of the transformation strategy. The implementation of this strategy will allow the Donetsk economic region to transform the region's economy — adapted to external environment and internal challenges and opportunities — in order to achieve the key goal, that is the standard of living and human development, which is the basis of any economic security strategy.
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采用分类分析法(同时确定顿涅茨克州和卢甘斯克州经济安全水平综合指标)和“经济安全水平-战略”动态双因素矩阵对顿涅茨克州经济安全进行诊断。所获得的结果使发件人得出结论,顿涅茨克州和卢甘斯克州的局势在经济安全水平方面已经恶化。截至2018年底,根据分类指标,顿涅茨克州的经济安全状况为“令人满意”,卢甘斯克州的经济安全状况为“令人不满意”。运用“经济安全水平-战略”矩阵对研究区域进行有效的经济安全战略选择。因此,截至2018年,各州处于“危险区域”,这与转型战略相对应。对各州批准的到2027年经济发展战略的分析结果表明,确定的战略目标和操作措施符合转型战略的内容。这一战略的实施将使顿涅茨克经济区能够改变该地区的经济,使其适应外部环境和内部挑战与机会,以便实现关键目标,即生活水平和人类发展,这是任何经济安全战略的基础。
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