DETERMINANTS OF LOAN REPAYMENT PERFORMANCE: THE CASE STUDY OF HARARI MICROFINANCE INSTITUTIONS

Firafis Haile
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引用次数: 23

Abstract

The study was conducted in Eastern Hararghe Zone of the Harari Regional State, Ethiopia. This study is intended to assess factors affecting loan repayment performance of Harari Microfinance Institution. The survey was conducted in three Kebele Associations having the maximum number of borrowers, by selecting 120 sample households through systematic random sampling between defaulters and non-defaulters of the MFI. Out of 120 borrowers, 50% were defaulters, and the remaining half was non-defaulters. Pre-tested structured interview schedule was used to collect primary and secondary data. Key informant interviews and focus group discussions were used to generate the necessary qualitative data. The collected data were analyzed by employing descriptive statistics and logistic regression (binary logit). A total of fifteen explanatory variables were included in the empirical model and out of these, nine were found to be statistically significant to influence the dependent variable. These significant variables are: Saving habit of borrowers, loan size, perception of borrowers on repayment period, source of income, availability of training, business experience, business type, family size, and the purpose of saving were found influencing loan repayment performance as evidenced from the model statistic (significant at 1, 5 and 10%). The econometric result revealed that the probability of default increases as the family size increases, when the borrower has negative perception on repayment period, less training, low business experience, poor saving habit and only single source of income. On the basis of the study findings, some recommendations were made to improve loan repayment performance in the study area. The strategy would be: Reducing family size through expanding family planning program, increasing borrower’s perception on repayment period through training, selecting business-experienced borrowers. The study also recommends a plan to assist borrowers in the study area to increase their business entrepreneurs’ skills through appropriate infrastructure, enhanced lendable funds in the microfinance institutions and business training for borrowers, enhanced loan amount and addressing challenges facing the microfinance institution.   Key words: Binary logit, loan repayment, microfinance, performance, policy makers.
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贷款偿还绩效的决定因素:哈拉里小额信贷机构的案例研究
这项研究是在埃塞俄比亚哈拉里州的哈拉格东部地区进行的。本研究旨在评估影响哈拉里小额信贷机构贷款偿还绩效的因素。该调查是在借款人最多的三个Kebele协会进行的,通过系统随机抽样在小额信贷机构的违约者和非违约者之间选择120个样本家庭。在120名借款人中,50%是违约者,其余一半是非违约者。采用预先测试的结构化访谈表收集第一手资料和第二手资料。主要信息提供者访谈和焦点小组讨论被用来产生必要的定性数据。收集的数据采用描述性统计和逻辑回归(二进制logit)进行分析。总共有15个解释变量被包括在经验模型中,其中9个被发现在统计上显著影响因变量。这些重要的变量是:借款人的储蓄习惯,贷款规模,借款人对还款期的看法,收入来源,培训的可用性,业务经验,业务类型,家庭规模和储蓄的目的被发现影响贷款偿还绩效,从模型统计(显著为1,5和10%)。计量经济学结果显示,当借款人对还款期限有负面看法、培训较少、商业经验较低、储蓄习惯较差、收入来源单一时,违约概率随家庭规模的增加而增加。在研究结果的基础上,提出了一些改善研究地区贷款偿还绩效的建议。其策略是:通过扩大计划生育项目来缩小家庭规模;通过培训来提高借款人对还款期限的认识;选择有商业经验的借款人。该研究还建议制定一项计划,通过适当的基础设施、增加小额信贷机构的可贷款资金和对借款人的业务培训、增加贷款金额和解决小额信贷机构面临的挑战,帮助研究领域的借款人提高其商业企业家技能。关键词:二元逻辑,贷款偿还,小额信贷,绩效,决策者。
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