Reliability Sensitivity Analysis to Frequency Stability Control System Based on Improved Probability Weighted Directed Graph

Yunsong Yan, N. Zhang, Wei Han, Shenghu Li, Jianfeng Ren, Chuang Song, Huimin Zhou
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Abstract

Difficulty to assess the risk of the frequency stability control system (FSCS) lies in its complex structure and expected function. In this paper, a risk assessment model to the FSCS is proposed. From the improved probability-based weighted directed graph firstly established, the weighted adjacency matrix is obtained. To find the connectivity of any two nodes, the weighted fully connected matrix is introduced by the path search algorithm since the weighted adjacency matrix has no Boolean property. When assessing the risk of the FSCS, considering its hierarchical structure, redundant configuration of stations and ‘non-point-to-point’ instruction transmission characteristics, the corrected topology with N-1 contingency of the FSCS is established. Then the risk indices are defined from two perspectives of only the FSCS itself and its functional characteristics, while the latter reflects the ability of the FSCS to ensure the security and stability of the AC/ultra-high voltage DC (UHVDC) power system. The sensitivities of the risk indices to the FSCS devices and UHVDC components are quantified based on the risk assessment model. The numerical results of the typical test system are provided to validate the practical value and accuracy of the proposed model.
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基于改进概率加权有向图的频率稳定控制系统可靠性灵敏度分析
频率稳定控制系统(FSCS)的风险评估难度在于其复杂的结构和预期功能。本文提出了FSCS的风险评估模型。首先建立改进的基于概率的加权有向图,得到加权邻接矩阵。由于加权邻接矩阵不具有布尔性质,为了求任意两个节点之间的连通性,通过路径搜索算法引入了加权完全连接矩阵。在对FSCS进行风险评估时,考虑FSCS的分层结构、站点冗余配置和“非点对点”指令传输特性,建立了FSCS具有N-1偶然性的修正拓扑。然后仅从FSCS本身及其功能特性两个角度定义风险指标,后者反映了FSCS保障交流/特高压直流(UHVDC)电力系统安全稳定的能力。基于风险评估模型,量化了各风险指标对FSCS装置和特高压直流组件的敏感性。给出了典型试验系统的数值结果,验证了所提模型的实用价值和准确性。
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