A Life-Cycle Analysis of French Household Electricity Demand

Fateh Bélaïd, C. Rault, Camille Massié
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Abstract

This paper develops a pseudo-panel approach to examine household electricity demand behaviour through the household life cycle and its response to income variations to help strengthen the energy policy-making process. Our empirical methodology is based on three rich independent microdata surveys (the National Housing Surveys), which are representative of the French housing sector. The resulted sample covers the 2006-2016 period. Using within estimations, this paper finds striking evidence that the income elasticity of French residential electricity demand is 0.22, averaged over our four cohorts of generations. In light of other works, our estimate stands in the lower range. The empirical results also show that residential electricity consumption follows an inverted U-shaped distribution as a function of the age of the household's head. Most notably, it appears that households at the mid-point of their life cycle are relatively the largest consumers of electricity. This outcome has important implications for policy-making. Any public policy aimed at reducing household energy consumption should consider this differentiation in consumption according to the position of households over the life cycle, and therefore target as priority households at the highest level of consumption.
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法国家庭用电需求的生命周期分析
本文开发了一种伪面板方法,通过家庭生命周期检查家庭电力需求行为及其对收入变化的响应,以帮助加强能源决策过程。我们的实证方法是基于三个丰富的独立微数据调查(全国住房调查),这是法国住房部门的代表。结果样本涵盖2006-2016年期间。使用内部估计,本文发现了惊人的证据,即法国住宅电力需求的收入弹性为0.22,在我们的四代队列中平均。考虑到其他作品,我们的估价处于较低的范围。实证结果还表明,居民用电量随户主年龄呈倒u型分布。最值得注意的是,处于生命周期中点的家庭似乎是相对最大的电力消费者。这一结果对决策具有重要意义。任何旨在减少家庭能源消费的公共政策都应根据家庭在生命周期中的地位考虑到这种消费差异,因此应将消费最高水平的家庭作为优先目标。
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