Oil Paper Insulation State Evaluation Method Integrating Fuzzy K-Nearest Neighbor and D-S Proof Theory

Guangyong Chen, Yongqin Ke
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Abstract

In order to realize the accurate evaluation of transformer oil paper insulation state, this paper proposes the evaluation method of integrating Fuzzy K-Nearest Neighbor (FKNN) and D-S evidence theory. Firstly, the multi-characteristic parameter database of reply voltage method is constructed based on the measured data of reply voltage method transformer. Then, for the database, a basic probability allocation method based on FKNN is proposed to reduce the influence of subjective factors. Finally, each evidence is integrated through the D-S evidence theory to obtain confidence results for the insulating state proposition, which avoids the limitations of individual feature parameter evaluation. Using the proposed method of the transformer measured data of the database, the results show that the method of the confidence results can not only accurately reflect the transformer oil paper insulation state, provide guidance for the maintenance strategy, and can reflect the deterioration trend of transformer oil paper insulation to a certain extent.
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结合模糊k近邻和D-S证明理论的油纸绝缘状态评价方法
为了实现对变压器油纸绝缘状态的准确评价,提出了模糊k近邻(FKNN)与D-S证据理论相结合的评价方法。首先,基于应答电压法变压器的实测数据,构建了应答电压法多特征参数数据库;然后,针对数据库,提出了一种基于FKNN的基本概率分配方法,以减少主观因素的影响。最后,通过D-S证据理论对各个证据进行整合,得到绝缘状态命题的置信度结果,避免了单个特征参数评估的局限性。利用本文提出的方法对数据库中的变压器实测数据进行分析,结果表明,该方法的置信度结果不仅能准确反映变压器油纸绝缘状态,为维护策略提供指导,而且能在一定程度上反映变压器油纸绝缘劣化趋势。
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