МОДЕЛЮВАННЯ ОПТИМАЛЬНИХ РІВНІВ КОНКУРЕНТОСПРОМОЖНОСТІ СІЛЬСЬКОГОСПОДАРСЬКИХ ПІДПРИЄМСТВ В УМОВАХ СТАЛОГО РОЗВИТКУ

Марина В. Поленкова
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Abstract

The article seeks to explore major challenges in the agricultural sector development in Ukraine. Using multifactor statistical analysis of the key drivers of agribusiness operation and performance, based on a matrix of 25 selected agribusiness development indicators for enterprises specialized in crop raising and 16 selected development indicators for livestock enterprises, similar developmental trends across Ukrainian regions have been revealed. According to the results of the analysis, certain taxonomic groups (clusters) were identified that allowed to display similar regional conditions within each group along with specifying regions with crop and livestock farming within one cluster, represented by Lviv, Ivano-Frankivsk and Rivne regions. For further research, agribusinesses were selected out of the above regions and their competitive positions were analyzed. A fuzzy-set method was used to identify the impact of sustainable development, in particular the level of economic, social and environmental sustainability of regions on the competitive position of agribusinesses. The input parameters are represented by economic, environmental and social sustainability indices, each of them is assigned specific characteristics and classified. In addition, using variance analysis, key reference indicators were calculated and the boundaries were set. The output data are determined by the level of agribusiness competitiveness in Lviv, Ivano-Frankivsk and Rivne regions (selected by the results of cluster analysis). According to the calculations results, linguistic evaluation was performed, based on variance analysis of terms. Modeling of the surface of the forecast values was carried out which revealed that the above the average level of agribusiness competitiveness is accompanied by a high level of economic sustainability, average level of environmental sustainability and the below average social stability level.
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本文旨在探讨乌克兰农业部门发展面临的主要挑战。通过对农业综合企业经营和绩效的关键驱动因素进行多因素统计分析,基于25个选定的作物养殖企业农业综合企业发展指标和16个选定的畜牧企业发展指标的矩阵,揭示了乌克兰各地区类似的发展趋势。根据分析结果,确定了某些分类类群(聚类),这些类群(聚类)允许在每个类群内显示相似的区域条件,并在一个聚类内指定作物和畜牧业区域,以利沃夫、伊万诺-弗兰科夫斯克和里夫纳地区为代表。为进一步研究,本文从上述区域中选取农业综合企业,分析其竞争地位。采用模糊集方法确定可持续发展的影响,特别是区域经济、社会和环境可持续性水平对农业综合企业竞争地位的影响。输入参数由经济、环境和社会可持续性指标表示,每个指标都被赋予特定的特征并进行分类。此外,采用方差分析方法,计算关键参考指标并设置边界。产出数据由利沃夫、伊万诺-弗兰科夫斯克和里夫涅地区的农业综合企业竞争力水平决定(由聚类分析结果选择)。根据计算结果,进行了基于方差分析的语言评价。对预测值的曲面进行建模,结果表明,在农业综合企业竞争力高于平均水平的同时,经济可持续性水平较高,环境可持续性水平较高,社会稳定性水平低于平均水平。
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