RETHINKING WHEAT IMPORTATION IN CAMEROON: AN ESTIMATION OF LIKELY BENEFITS MISSED DUE TO IMPORTATION

Peter Ngek Shillie, Mary-Juliet Bime Egwu, Nji Mondi Boja
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Abstract

This study was conducted to create a re-awakening of thinking in the subject area of wheat importation in Cameroon. The objectives of the study included: examining the production and importation level of wheat, estimating likely job creation potential and community welfare missed due to high importation of wheat and estimating revenue (from taxes) that could have been generated through personal income tax if local production was prioritized. Secondary data was used. Simple descriptive analysis tools building on data for 20 years 2000 to 2019, was used for analysis. Data employed for analysis was collected from online sites namely FAO, USDA, Macrotrends, and Knoema. This was after all efforts to obtain data from the National Institute of Statistics yielded no fruits. The data collected from online sites were averaged and the mean was used for analysis. Wheat production results showed that on average for the period studied, 0.84 thousand metric tonnes of wheat were produced annually in Cameroon. Importation figures showed that an average of 513.85 thousand metric tonnes were imported annually in Cameroon. This shows a huge gap between local production and consumption needs to be filled through importation. Regarding lost job creation potential, estimates indicated that about 246,413 jobs could have been created annually if local wheat production was prioritized over importation. These indicate that unemployment levels would have been much better in wheat-producing areas if this was the case. Estimates relating to revenue generation through personal income tax show that on average, 16,912.24MFCFA might have been missed annually for the period 2000 to 2019 due to the high importation of wheat. Overall, the results suggest that Cameroon is missing a lot by importing huge volumes of wheat. The study recommends that Cameroon should engage heavily in local wheat production given that the agro-ecological conditions are favorable for wheat production. Such an action will bring about significant positive changes in terms of local job creation, income generation, and welfare improvements to the inhabitants, especially in the farming communities.
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重新考虑喀麦隆的小麦进口:对进口可能带来的损失的估计
本研究旨在唤醒人们对喀麦隆小麦进口问题的思考。该研究的目标包括:审查小麦的生产和进口水平,估计由于小麦的大量进口可能造成的就业创造潜力和社区福利损失,并估计如果优先考虑当地生产,可能通过个人所得税产生的(税收)收入。采用二次数据。使用基于2000年至2019年20年数据的简单描述性分析工具进行分析。用于分析的数据收集自在线网站,即粮农组织、美国农业部、Macrotrends和Knoema。毕竟,从国家统计局获得数据的努力没有取得任何成果。从网络站点收集的数据取平均值,并用平均值进行分析。小麦产量结果表明,在研究期间,喀麦隆平均每年生产0.84万公吨小麦。进口数字显示,喀麦隆每年平均进口51385万公吨。这表明当地生产和消费之间的巨大差距需要通过进口来填补。关于失去的创造就业机会潜力,估计表明,如果优先考虑本地小麦生产而不是进口,每年可创造约246,413个就业机会。这表明,如果是这样的话,小麦产区的失业率会好得多。与通过个人所得税产生的收入有关的估计显示,2000年至2019年期间,由于小麦的大量进口,平均每年可能少报16,912.24MFCFA。总的来说,结果表明喀麦隆由于大量进口小麦而失去了很多。该研究建议,鉴于农业生态条件有利于小麦生产,喀麦隆应大力发展当地的小麦生产。这一行动将在当地创造就业机会、创造收入和改善居民福利方面带来重大的积极变化,特别是在农业社区。
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