Capital Flows, Capitalization, and Openness in Emerging East Asian Economies

Alex Mandilaras, H. Popper
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引用次数: 12

Abstract

We examine the international capital flows of seven East Asian emerging economies over the last decade and a half. We find that domestic capital market conditions appear to be the best predictors of the changes in the total capital flows of these countries. Overall, changes in capital market openness are less helpful in explaining the behavior of the recent capital flows of these economies. Finally, we find that, while US macroeconomic conditions are strong predictors of GDP growth in the region, US conditions matter very little for the region's capital flows.
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东亚新兴经济体的资本流动、资本化与开放
我们研究了过去15年7个东亚新兴经济体的国际资本流动。我们发现,国内资本市场状况似乎是这些国家总资本流动变化的最佳预测指标。总体而言,资本市场开放程度的变化对解释这些经济体近期资本流动的行为帮助不大。最后,我们发现,尽管美国的宏观经济状况是该地区GDP增长的有力预测指标,但美国的宏观经济状况对该地区的资本流动影响甚微。
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