Environmental Pollution & the Political Economy of Public Debt

Maximilian Kellner
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Abstract

This paper analyzes the political economy of government debt when elected politicians decide about the distribution of public funds between a clean and a polluting public good. When provision of the polluting good creates a stock of climate externalities, strategic incentives for the incumbent government arise from both a budget and emission interaction. In this framework, reelection uncertainty leads to inefficiently low public savings (or even debt) which are attenuated by the emission interaction, while first period pollution decreases regardless of the future government's identity. If the incumbent government competes for office against an environmentalists' party, the total welfare loss from emissions also decreases as a direct result of reelection uncertainty.
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环境污染与公共债务的政治经济学
本文分析了当民选政治家决定公共资金在清洁和污染公共产品之间的分配时,政府债务的政治经济学。当污染产品的供应产生了大量的气候外部性时,对现任政府的战略激励来自预算和排放的相互作用。在这一框架下,连任的不确定性导致公共储蓄(甚至债务)的低效率,这被排放相互作用减弱,而无论未来政府的身份如何,第一阶段的污染都会减少。如果现任政府与环保主义政党竞争,排放造成的总福利损失也会减少,这是连任不确定性的直接结果。
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