The Impact of Foreign Trade on Malawi Economic Growth

Nancy Chibaya
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Abstract

Abstract: The study was conducted with the aim of assessing the impact of foreign trade on economic growth in Malawi from 1961 to 2016. The study has used a neoclassic economic growth model with gross domestic product, exports, imports, capital and labor force as variables of analysis. Using annual time series data on the variables for the period 1961 to 2016 from the World Bank Data Bank, Ordinary Least Squares regression and statistical accuracy of the findings was done at 5 percent level of significance. The four variables which included exports, imports, gross capital formation and labor force were found to have a positive effect on the country’s economic growth. Nevertheless, the study found an existing relationship between the variables. The above results strongly suggest that Malawi should continue with its foreign trade. The study recommends export diversification, investment in technology, increase capital good through imports and labor intensive industrialization.
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对外贸易对马拉维经济增长的影响
摘要:本研究旨在评估1961年至2016年对外贸易对马拉维经济增长的影响。本研究采用了以国内生产总值、出口、进口、资本和劳动力为分析变量的新古典经济增长模型。使用世界银行数据库1961年至2016年期间变量的年度时间序列数据,普通最小二乘回归和结果的统计准确性在5%的显著性水平上进行。研究发现,出口、进口、资本形成总额和劳动力这四个变量对国家经济增长有积极影响。然而,该研究发现了变量之间存在的关系。上述结果强烈建议马拉维应继续其对外贸易。该研究建议出口多样化、技术投资、通过进口增加资本品和劳动密集型工业化。
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