A study of the monthly insolation in Libya

A. Guwaeder, R. Ramakumar
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引用次数: 4

Abstract

Recent significant downtrend in the cost of photovoltaic (PV) modules at an average rate of 20% with each doubling of sales has accelerated their deployment around the world on a large scale. This paper presents a brief study of some of the potential impacts of the entry of grid-connected PV on the Libyan power system. Further, it also presents the observed radiations at four locations in Libya to analyze the statistical solar radiation data provided from the Solar Electricity Hand Book 2017 Edition. The solar radiation data set is analyzed using Weibull, Normal, Rayleigh and Gamma distribution. An effort has been made to find out the most suitable distribution for solar radiation data, based on two goodness of fit tests, namely Chi-Squared test and Kolmogorov-Smirnov test. Root mean square error also used to determine the error. From analysis, it is concluded that Weibull and Normal distribution give the best fit for observed solar radiation.
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利比亚月日照量的研究
最近,光伏(PV)组件的成本以平均20%的速度大幅下降,销售额每翻一番,这加速了它们在全球范围内的大规模部署。本文简要研究了光伏并网对利比亚电力系统的一些潜在影响。此外,它还展示了利比亚四个地点的观测辐射,以分析太阳能电力手册2017版提供的统计太阳辐射数据。利用威布尔分布、正态分布、瑞利分布和伽马分布对太阳辐射数据集进行了分析。利用两种拟合优度检验,即Chi-Squared检验和Kolmogorov-Smirnov检验,试图找出太阳辐射数据最合适的分布。也用均方根误差来确定误差。通过分析,得出威布尔分布和正态分布最适合观测到的太阳辐射。
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