Foreign Direct Investment in a Computable General Equilibrium Framework

P. Petri
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引用次数: 69

Abstract

This paper develops a model of foreign direct investment (FDI) in a computable general equilibrium (CGE) framework by distinguishing between the activities of domestic and foreign-owned firms in both production and demand. Using a variant of the Armington assumption, the model is implemented by merging conventional production, demand and trade data with information on FDI. In a preliminary application, the model is used to analyze the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation goal of “free trade and investment in the region” by 2020. The model demonstrates that FDI matters; even in scenarios that do not liberalize FDI flows directly, FDI reinforces liberalization by making production more flexible. Trade and investment liberalization are generally complementary, in the sense that each strengthens the other linkage. Because FDI offers access to foreign technology and variety even in non-traded sectors, its economic effects are particularly pronounced in services.
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可计算一般均衡框架下的外国直接投资
本文通过区分国内企业和外资企业在生产和需求方面的活动,在可计算一般均衡(CGE)框架下建立了外国直接投资(FDI)模型。利用阿明顿假设的一种变体,该模型通过将传统的生产、需求和贸易数据与外国直接投资信息合并来实现。在初步应用中,该模型用于分析亚太经合组织到2020年“区域自由贸易和投资”的目标。该模型表明,FDI很重要;即使在不直接开放外国直接投资流动的情况下,外国直接投资也通过使生产更加灵活来加强自由化。贸易和投资自由化通常是相辅相成的,因为两者都加强了彼此的联系。由于外国直接投资甚至在非贸易部门提供获得外国技术和品种的机会,因此其经济影响在服务业特别明显。
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