Return and Volatility Spillover Effects between Bond, Stock, Oil, and Gold Markets in Vietnam: Evidence from the Pre- and During the COVID-19 Period

Ngo Thai Hung, Huynh Duong Phuong Quyen, Vo Le Diem Quynh, T. Trang, Huynh Thi Mai Nhu
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Abstract

This study uses the EGARCH model to examine the return and volatility spillover effects of four financial markets in Vietnam including bonds, stocks, oil, and gold, with data collected from January 2010 to December 2021, divided into subsamples before and during the COVID-19 period. The results uncover bidirectional price spillovers between bond and stock markets in the pre-COVID-19 crisis, while there exist volatility transmissions between these assets during the COVID-19 outbreak. In particular, the highest hedging effectiveness occurs during the COVID-19 spread in the case of gold and stock markets. Our findings are reliable and statistically significant, making them a useful information channel for investors, policymakers, and participants in these markets.
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越南债券、股票、石油和黄金市场的回报和波动溢出效应:来自疫情前和疫情期间的证据
本研究使用EGARCH模型考察了越南债券、股票、石油和黄金等四个金融市场的回报和波动溢出效应,数据收集时间为2010年1月至2021年12月,并将其分为疫情前和疫情期间的子样本。结果发现,在2019冠状病毒病危机前,债券和股票市场之间存在双向价格溢出效应,而在2019冠状病毒病爆发期间,这些资产之间存在波动传导。特别是,在新冠疫情扩散期间,黄金和股票市场的对冲效果最高。我们的研究结果可靠且具有统计学意义,为这些市场的投资者、政策制定者和参与者提供了有用的信息渠道。
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Thực trạng và giải pháp phát triển nguyên liệu thức ăn chăn nuôi ở Việt Nam giai đoạn hậu COVID-19 Các nhân tố tác động đến ý định chuyển đổi từ ô tô truyền thống sang ô tô điện của người tiêu dùng tại thị trường Việt Nam Vai trò FDI với tăng trưởng kinh tế: Nghiên cứu điển hình tại khu vực Đông Nam Bộ Đánh giá hiểu biết của sinh viên Hà Nội về chuẩn mực kế toán công quốc tế Ảnh hưởng của các yếu tố marketing MIX tới quyết định mua thịt lạnh của người tiêu dùng tại Hà Nội
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