From Internal to International Migration in Romania – Continuity and Spatial Differentiation

I. Muntele, Raluca-Ioana Horea-Serban
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Abstract

The study proposes a set of analyses on the evolution of the migration balance of Romania’s population over a wide time interval, fully covering the period dominated by the communist regime (1948-1989) and the last three decades marked by the transition to a market economy. The aim is to differentiate the typology of the time and space distribution of the mentioned indicator and to test a set of explanatory factors, for each of the two distinct periods. The typological and factor analyses applied led to results that largely confirm the hypothesis of a continuity between the massive internal migration during the communist regime and the more complex migration in recent decades. At the same time, the profound changes in the incidence of certain explanatory factors certify a complete restructuring of the migration system in Romania after 1990. The massive migration from rural to urban areas, brought about by positional or socio-economic factors, was gradually replaced after the fall of the communist regime by a strong labour emigration, an effect of deindustrialization. The stimulation of the periurbanization process, by changing the way of life, introduced new variables in the functioning of the migration system, in keeping with the specific evolutions of the contemporary era.
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从罗马尼亚国内移民到国际移民——连续性和空间分异
该研究建议对罗马尼亚人口在很长一段时间内移民平衡的演变进行一套分析,完全涵盖共产主义政权主导的时期(1948-1989年)和以向市场经济过渡为标志的过去三十年。其目的是区分上述指标的时间和空间分布的类型,并为两个不同时期中的每一个测试一组解释因素。应用的类型学和因素分析得出的结果在很大程度上证实了共产主义政权期间大规模的内部移民与近几十年来更复杂的移民之间存在连续性的假设。与此同时,某些解释因素发生的深刻变化证明1990年以后罗马尼亚的移徙制度已经完全改组。由于位置或社会经济因素造成的从农村向城市地区的大规模移民,在共产主义政权垮台后逐渐被强大的劳动力移民所取代,这是去工业化的结果。通过改变生活方式刺激了半边化进程,在符合当代具体演变的移徙制度的运作中引入了新的变数。
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