How Long does a Generation Last? Assessing the Relationship Between Infinite and Finite Horizon Dynamic Models*

IF 0.9 Q3 ECONOMICS Economic Papers Pub Date : 2021-08-16 DOI:10.1111/1759-3441.12328
Marco Guerrazzi
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Abstract

This note aims at assessing the temporal relationship that exists between the time reference of dynamic models with infinite and finite horizon. Specifically, comparing the optimal inter-temporal plans arising from an infinite horizon model and a 2-period overlapping generations model in their stationary equilibria, I suggest way to assess the number of time periods of the former that form a time unit of the latter. Relying on an argument grounded on consumption smoothing, I show that the theoretical length of a generation is an increasing function of the discount factor of the optimising agent. Moreover, from an empirical point of view, I give evidence that this analysis corroborates the well-documented nexus that links demographic developments and the path of interest rates, and it offers interesting insights for the calibration of discount rates in computational models.

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一代人能持续多久?评估无限和有限视界动态模型之间的关系*
本文旨在评估无限视界和有限视界动态模型的时间参考之间存在的时间关系。具体来说,比较了无限视界模型和2周期重叠代模型在平稳平衡下产生的最优跨期计划,我提出了一种评估前者形成后者时间单位的时间段数量的方法。依靠基于消费平滑的论证,我证明了一代的理论长度是优化代理的贴现因子的递增函数。此外,从经验的角度来看,我提供了证据,证明这一分析证实了人口发展与利率路径之间的充分联系,并为计算模型中贴现率的校准提供了有趣的见解。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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来源期刊
Economic Papers
Economic Papers ECONOMICS-
CiteScore
2.30
自引率
0.00%
发文量
23
期刊介绍: Economic Papers is one of two journals published by the Economics Society of Australia. The journal features a balance of high quality research in applied economics and economic policy analysis which distinguishes it from other Australian journals. The intended audience is the broad range of economists working in business, government and academic communities within Australia and internationally who are interested in economic issues related to Australia and the Asia-Pacific region. Contributions are sought from economists working in these areas and should be written to be accessible to a wide section of our readership. All contributions are refereed.
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