Effects of EU Trade Policy on Export Development in South East European Countries: Some Important Lessons

B. Ćulahović
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Abstract

The European Union (EU) trade policy towards South East European Countries (SEE countries - Albania, Bosnia-Herzegovina, Croatia, Serbia and Montenegro and Republic of Macedonia) is one of the important tools of EU's integration strategy. The exports from SEE countries to the European Union are preferred within special autonomous trade measures for SEE countries which were introduced by the EU in September 2000 (the 2000TM). The 2000TM are a far-ranging set of preferences which provide the SEE countries with unparalleled market access to the EU, and hence with the potential both to develop existing exports and to generate new exports.However, SEE countries’ exports to the EU are far below the level which could reasonably be expected. A number of supply- side and domestic policy reasons are given for this under-performance, which suggests that the 2000TM are likely in part to rectify the situation.The economic regeneration of the SSE countries will depend from the success of internal economic reform and from the adoption of economic and trade policies which specifically identify and address some serious supply-side constraints.
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欧盟贸易政策对东南欧国家出口发展的影响:一些重要的教训
欧盟对东南欧国家(SEE国家-阿尔巴尼亚、波斯尼亚-黑塞哥维那、克罗地亚、塞尔维亚和黑山以及马其顿共和国)的贸易政策是欧盟一体化战略的重要工具之一。欧盟在2000年9月为SEE国家推出的特别自主贸易措施(2000 tm)中优先考虑从SEE国家向欧盟的出口。2000TM是一套范围广泛的优惠,为SEE国家提供了无与伦比的欧盟市场准入,因此具有发展现有出口和创造新出口的潜力。然而,SEE国家对欧盟的出口远远低于合理预期的水平。对于这种表现不佳,人们给出了许多供给方面和国内政策方面的原因,这表明2000点很可能在一定程度上纠正这种局面。SSE国家的经济复兴将取决于内部经济改革的成功,以及采取具体识别和解决一些严重供给侧制约因素的经济和贸易政策。
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