Does household capacity play a role in influencing consumption? Empirical evidence from the rural area of Mekong River Delta, Vietnam

T. Le
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Abstract

This study is to examine the link between income diversification and household consumption in Mekong River Delta, Vietnam based on the 1993/98-panel data and the 2002/04/06 panel data. The study period covers a thirteen-year period and drew on a framework that conceptualized diversification as a product of household capacity variables and “incentives to diversify”. The analysis showed that there is a clear link between income diversification and consumption, and that household capacity does play a role in influencing consumption. Particularly, results suggest that changes in household consumption over this period may be attributed to mainly two factors. First, the main household specific factor that plays a role in influencing consumption is a household head’s occupational status with a clear effect of non-farming work (manual or otherwise) on increasing consumption. Second, non-household specific attributes as captured by changes in the intercept account for the bulk of the increase in consumption. These findings support the idea that institutional and policy changes which have occurred in Vietnam in the last twenty years have provided the impetus for the spectacular growth and poverty reduction experienced in the MRD and in Vietnam.
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家庭生产能力是否对消费有影响?来自越南湄公河三角洲农村地区的经验证据
本文基于1993/98年面板数据和2002/04/06年面板数据,对越南湄公河三角洲地区居民收入多元化与居民消费之间的关系进行了实证研究。研究期间为十三年,并采用了一个框架,将多样化概念化为家庭能力变量和“多样化激励”的产物。分析表明,收入多样化与消费之间存在明显的联系,家庭能力确实在影响消费方面发挥作用。特别是,结果表明,这一时期家庭消费的变化可能主要归因于两个因素。首先,影响消费的主要家庭特定因素是户主的职业状况,非农业工作(体力或其他)对增加消费有明显的影响。其次,在截距变化中捕捉到的非家庭特定属性占了消费增长的大部分。这些发现支持了这样一种观点,即在过去20年里,越南发生的制度和政策变化为MRD和越南经历的惊人增长和减贫提供了动力。
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