Conclusions: the grandparents’ century?

Virpi Timonen
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Abstract

This chapter contains reflections on the notion that the 21st century could be called the ‘grandparents’ century’. This is a reference to the prediction that, by the middle of this century, there will be relatively more ‘old’ people than children in the global population. As the majority of older adults are grandparents, the global population in the 21st century is characterised by the presence of unprecedented numbers of grandparents. Grandparents will be increasingly old, and many of them will enjoy good health. In some cases, they might even compete over the opportunity to spend time with and care for one or two grandchildren. Higher proportions of the younger grandparents will be working, if the plans to extend working lives succeed, but they will share such long spans of life with their grandchildren that they might have a better opportunity to bond when the latter are teenagers or young adults. Grandparents, rather than parents, might become important sources of direct material transfers to their grandchildren. Whether and when people become grandparents, and how this varies across contexts, and across cohorts, is set to define a new type of inequality – in access to, or inability to enter, the grandparent role.
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结论:祖父母的世纪?
这一章包含了对21世纪可以被称为“祖父母世纪”这一概念的反思。这是一项预测,即到本世纪中叶,全球人口中的“老年人”将相对多于儿童。由于大多数老年人都是祖父母,21世纪全球人口的特点是祖父母的数量前所未有。祖父母会越来越老,他们中的许多人会享受良好的健康。在某些情况下,他们甚至会竞争与一两个孙子在一起和照顾他们的机会。如果延长工作年限的计划取得成功,那么年轻的祖父母中有更高比例的人将会工作,但他们将与孙辈分享如此长的寿命,以至于当孙辈是青少年或年轻人时,他们可能有更好的机会建立联系。祖父母,而不是父母,可能成为直接物质转移给孙辈的重要来源。人们是否以及何时成为祖父母,以及这在不同的环境和不同的人群中是如何变化的,将定义一种新的不平等——在获得或无法进入祖父母的角色方面。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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