North Korea’s Trade with China in 2019

Jangho Choi
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Abstract

North Korea declared a “breakthrough in sanctions” through self-rehabilitation at the Labor Party Central Committee meeting held on December 28-31, 2019. How is the North Korean economy now? In 2019, North Korea’s imports and exports to China each slightly increased compared to the previous year, showing some adaptation to sanctions against North Korea, but the already deformed structure and large deficit have worsened. Due to UN sanctions, the import of items necessary for production (machinery, electronics, and transportation) was completely banned, and overall industrial production was adversely affected.North Korean authorities are trying to minimize the impact of sanctions on the North Korean economy. The most representative measure has been to continuously increase the import of items not subject to sanctions. Since 2018, North Korea has responded to the sanctions by diversifying its import regions. Even during the sanctions, North Korea continued to promote the replacement of imported goods in the food industry with domestic products and construction facilities, in line with industrial policies set by Chairman Kim Jong-un, and the import of related items increased. In addition, as the demand for consumer goods increases, it seems that imports are increas-ing, maintaining the purchasing power of North Koreans to some extent. In summary, in 2019, the North Korean economy showed signs of slowing industrial produc-tion, but the nation also tried to minimize the adverse effects of sanctions by continuously in-creasing the import of non-sanctioned items. In the first quarter of 2020, the North Korean economy suffered from both sanctions and COVID-19.
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2019年朝鲜与中国的贸易
朝鲜在去年12月28日至31日举行的劳动党中央委员会会议上宣布,通过自我恢复,“突破了制裁”。朝鲜现在的经济怎么样?2019年,朝鲜对中国的进出口均比前一年略有增长,显示出对制裁的一定适应,但本已畸形的结构和巨额逆差进一步恶化。由于联合国的制裁,生产所需物品(机械、电子和运输)的进口被完全禁止,整个工业生产受到不利影响。朝鲜当局正在努力将制裁对朝鲜经济的影响降到最低。最具代表性的措施是不断增加非制裁对象的进口。自2018年以来,朝鲜通过多样化进口地区来应对制裁。即使在制裁期间,朝鲜仍在按照金正恩主席制定的产业政策,继续推动食品工业用国内产品和建筑设施替代进口货物,相关物品的进口也有所增加。此外,随着消费品需求的增加,进口似乎也在增加,这在一定程度上维持了朝鲜居民的购买力。综上所述,2019年,朝鲜经济出现了工业生产放缓的迹象,但朝鲜也在努力减少制裁带来的不利影响,不断增加非制裁项目的进口。今年第一季度(1 ~ 3月),朝鲜经济受到了制裁和新冠疫情的双重打击。
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