Reliability Evaluation of PV-ESS Microgrid System

Z. Weng, Jinghua Zhou, Xiaotong Song, Jin Li
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Abstract

Unlike grid-connected microgrids, isolated microgrids are more susceptible to internal equipment capacity changes and external dispatching strategies, so it is necessary to analyze microgrid reliability from the perspective of capacity changes. Firstly, a time series model of equipment life process, a PV model with Beta distribution, a load model with time variability and stochasticity, and an energy storage model with operational constraints are studied. Secondly, the reliability index is used to characterize the system reliability level, and the power scheduling and load shedding strategy with minimum load shedding is proposed. Finally, the improved RBTS BUS6 F4 system is used as an example to deeply analyze the interaction mechanism of each device capacity on the reliability of the microgrid and to show the effectiveness of the proposed strategy.
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PV-ESS微电网系统可靠性评估
与并网微电网不同,孤立微电网更容易受到内部设备容量变化和外部调度策略的影响,因此有必要从容量变化的角度来分析微电网的可靠性。首先,研究了设备寿命过程的时间序列模型、具有Beta分布的PV模型、具有时变和随机性的负荷模型以及具有运行约束的储能模型。其次,利用可靠性指标表征系统的可靠性水平,提出了以最小减载为目标的电力调度与减载策略;最后,以改进后的RBTS BUS6 F4系统为例,深入分析了各设备容量对微网可靠性的交互机制,验证了所提策略的有效性。
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