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2021 IEEE/IAS Industrial and Commercial Power System Asia (I&CPS Asia)最新文献

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Hybrid Models Based on LSTM and CNN Architecture with Bayesian Optimization for ShortTerm Photovoltaic Power Forecasting 基于LSTM和CNN结构的混合模型及贝叶斯优化的光伏短期电力预测
Pub Date : 2021-07-18 DOI: 10.1109/ICPSAsia52756.2021.9621525
Yaobang Chen, Jie Shi, Xingong Cheng, Xiaoyi Ma
The precision and reliability of photovoltaic (PV) power forecasting play a crucial role in commercial PV plants. However, the stochastic and intermittent nature of solar radiation makes prediction difficult. Inspired by this, 4 different deep learning-based hybrid models are proposed to predict short-term PV power generation using long short term memory (LSTM) neural network and convolutional neural network (CNN) based on Bayesian Optimization (BO) in this paper. In addition, this paper explores feature selection using two benchmark models on different feature sets, and finally selects 5 features for prediction. The performances of direct forecasting results for both 1-hour ahead and 24-hour ahead of the above various models are compared on one year of hourly data from a real PV plant in Shandong, China. It is shown that using Bi-directional LSTM (BiLSTM) and CNN-BiLSTM models are more suitable for 1-hour ahead prediction, LSTM-CNN and CNN-BiLSTM models are more suitable for 24-hour ahead prediction. The case study shows that the model with Bayesian optimized optimal weights can reduce the error rate by up to 32.80% compared to the benchmark model and demonstrates the good prediction performance of the proposed approach on commercial PV plants.
光伏发电功率预测的准确性和可靠性在商业光伏电站中起着至关重要的作用。然而,太阳辐射的随机性和间歇性使预测变得困难。受此启发,本文提出了4种不同的基于深度学习的混合模型,利用长短期记忆(LSTM)神经网络和基于贝叶斯优化(BO)的卷积神经网络(CNN)来预测短期光伏发电。此外,本文在不同的特征集上使用两个基准模型探索特征选择,最终选择5个特征进行预测。以中国山东某光伏电站1年每小时实测数据为基础,比较了上述各种模型提前1小时和提前24小时直接预测结果的性能。结果表明,双向LSTM (BiLSTM)和CNN-BiLSTM模型更适合于1小时前的预测,LSTM- cnn和CNN-BiLSTM模型更适合于24小时前的预测。实例研究表明,与基准模型相比,采用贝叶斯优化最优权值的模型可将错误率降低32.80%,并证明了该方法对商业光伏电站的良好预测性能。
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引用次数: 1
Distributionally Robust Operating Reserve Quantification of Integrated Electricity and Heating System 电力供热一体化系统的分布式鲁棒运行储备量化
Pub Date : 2021-07-18 DOI: 10.1109/ICPSAsia52756.2021.9621603
Yuqi Xu, Changfei Zhao, C. Wan, Lanxin Shao
Nowadays, the uncertainty and variability of increasing wind power penetration has brought new challenges to electric power system operation, putting forward higher requirements for its operational flexibility and reserve capability. To realize adequate reserve provision for power system, massive flexible resources in integrated electricity and heating system have been aggregated to supply efficient reserve capacity. In this context, we first propose an operating reserve quantification scheme for analyzing both probabilistic reserve requirements and dynamic reserve capability of integrated electricity and heating system; Then, a simplified model is developed through convex relaxation and polyhedral approximation for computational tractability of district heating system reserve capacity. A noval two-layer iterative algorithm based on the second order cone duality is developed to obtain a two-stage distributionally robust energy and reserve scheduling strategy. Finally, numerical simulations are implemented to validate the effectiveness and economic benefits of the proposed approach.
当前,风电渗透率不断提高的不确定性和可变性给电力系统运行带来了新的挑战,对电力系统的运行灵活性和备用能力提出了更高的要求。为了实现电力系统的充足储备,需要将电、热一体化系统中大量的灵活资源集中起来,提供高效的储备能力。在此背景下,我们首先提出了一种运行储备量化方案,用于分析电、热一体化系统的概率储备需求和动态储备能力;然后,利用凸松弛法和多面体逼近法建立了区域供热系统备用容量计算可追溯性的简化模型。提出了一种基于二阶锥对偶的两层迭代算法,得到了一种两阶段分布鲁棒的能量储备调度策略。最后,通过数值仿真验证了该方法的有效性和经济效益。
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引用次数: 0
Simulation on Evaporation of Copper Droplet in Vacuum 真空中铜液滴蒸发的模拟
Pub Date : 2021-07-18 DOI: 10.1109/ICPSAsia52756.2021.9621417
H. Ni, S. Ai, Feiyue Ma, Yongning Huang, Y. Fan, Lei Chen, Yujie Gong, Zhiyuan Liu
Evaporation of droplets in vacuum circuit breaker has impact on dielectric strength recovery and breaking ability. In this paper, we use simulation to study impact of different parameters on evaporation. We found that the evaporation process can be separated into two parts, fast evaporation and stable evaporation. This difference is caused by the saturated vapor pressure and it restrains the evaporation. By changing initial speed, temperature, angle and number of droplets, evaporation process shows different pictures.
真空断路器中液滴的蒸发影响着断路器的介电强度恢复和分断能力。本文采用模拟的方法研究了不同参数对蒸发的影响。我们发现蒸发过程可以分为快速蒸发和稳定蒸发两个部分。这种差异是由饱和蒸汽压引起的,它抑制了蒸发。通过改变初始速度、温度、角度和液滴数量,蒸发过程呈现出不同的画面。
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引用次数: 0
Pollution Reduction Effect of Rural Integrated Energy System Oriented to Low-Carbon Transformation 面向低碳转型的农村综合能源系统的污染减排效果
Pub Date : 2021-07-18 DOI: 10.1109/ICPSAsia52756.2021.9621746
Zhang Zhixia, Yao Yongge, Jiang Mingming, Pan Yingyue, Yang Jing, Song Wehai
with the gradual decline of environmental air quality in China, the traditional way of energy use in rural areas has been gradually outlawed due to low energy consumption and high pollution. It is urgent to find a low-carbon and environmentally friendly energy supply method suitable for rural areas. Based on low carbon environmental protection as the goal, this paper analyzed the natural resources in the rural areas and proposed a comprehensive energy system suitable to rural area, which composed of the photo voltaic, wind power, ground source heat pump, straw curing fuel for rural energy, can make full use of abundant biomass and idle land in rural area and satisfy rural residents’ demand for cold, heat, electricity. With the pollution emission factor model as the main calculation reference, this paper studies the pollution emission of energy system, and initially adopts the full life cycle method to calculate the pollution emission of photo voltaic and wind power equipment. Considering the flexible consumption of users and the initiative of operators, the capacity of energy supply equipment is selected with the goal of low carbon emission reduction and considering economic constraints. Taking full account of regional differences, the low-carbon emission reduction effects of three different energy supply modes are compared. Taking a rural area in shandong province as an example, the proportion of CO2, SO2, NOX, PM2.5 that can reduce emission is 95.41%, 97.51%, 90.31% and 97.40%, respectively. The emission reduction effect is remarkable.
随着中国环境空气质量的逐渐下降,传统的农村能源利用方式因能耗低、污染大而逐渐被淘汰。寻找一种适合农村地区的低碳、环保的能源供应方式迫在眉睫。本文以低碳环保为目标,分析农村自然资源,提出以光伏、风电、地源热泵、秸秆固化燃料为农村能源,充分利用农村丰富的生物质和闲置土地,满足农村居民的冷、热、电需求的适合农村的综合能源体系。本文以污染排放因子模型为主要计算参考,对能源系统的污染排放进行研究,初步采用全生命周期方法对光伏、风电设备的污染排放进行计算。考虑用户的灵活消费和运营商的主动性,以低碳减排为目标,考虑经济约束,选择供能设备的容量。在充分考虑区域差异的情况下,比较了三种不同能源供应方式的低碳减排效果。以山东省某农村为例,CO2、SO2、NOX、PM2.5的减排比例分别为95.41%、97.51%、90.31%、97.40%。减排效果显著。
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引用次数: 0
Short-Term Wind Generation Combined Forecast Considering Meteorological Similarity 考虑气象相似性的短期风力发电组合预报
Pub Date : 2021-07-18 DOI: 10.1109/ICPSAsia52756.2021.9621620
Yating Liu, Ming Yang, Yixiao Yu, T. Ding, Zhiyuan Si, Menglin Li
High-precision short-term wind generation prediction results are conducive to making a scientific generation plan and improving the wind power absorption capacity of the power grids. Based on the analysis of the relationship between the numerical weather prediction and wind power, this paper proposes a short-term wind generation combined forecast model considering meteorological similarity to improve the prediction accuracy of short-term wind power. In this method, the meteorological similarity day model, the extreme gradient boosting algorithm and the back propagation neural network algorithm are selected for achieving the short-term wind power prediction. Then, the particle swarm optimization algorithm is applied to determine the weight of each single forecasting model. Finally, the prediction results are obtained through the combination of the single model prediction results. With the realistic wind power data collected from a wind farm in Xinjiang province, the short-term wind forecasting task is achieved by the proposed method. The simulation results illustrate that the combined model proposed in this paper can effectively improve the forecasting performance of the benchmark models.
高精度的短期风力发电预测结果有利于制定科学的发电计划,提高电网的风电吸收能力。本文在分析数值天气预报与风力之间关系的基础上,提出了考虑气象相似度的短期风力联合预报模型,以提高短期风力的预报精度。该方法采用气象相似日模型、极值梯度增强算法和反向传播神经网络算法实现短期风电预测。然后,应用粒子群优化算法确定单个预测模型的权重;最后,结合单个模型的预测结果,得到预测结果。利用新疆省某风电场实际风力数据,实现了短期风力预报任务。仿真结果表明,本文提出的组合模型能有效提高基准模型的预测性能。
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引用次数: 0
Research and Application of Photovoltaic Power Station On-line Hot Spot Detection Operation and Maintenance System Based on Unmanned Aerial Vehicle Infrared and Visible Light Detection 基于无人机红外与可见光检测的光伏电站在线热点检测运维系统研究与应用
Pub Date : 2021-07-18 DOI: 10.1109/ICPSAsia52756.2021.9621375
Guanglei Li, Yuejiao Wang, Zheng Xu, Wei-Hua Teng, Xingyou Zhang
The traditional operation and maintenance method of hot spot detection has some problems, such as low efficiency of inspection, difficult to identify the cause of hot spot under the influence of multiple factors. In this paper, based on the Unmanned Aerial Vehicle(UAV) inspection technology, combined with the slope constraint based infrared image and visible image registration method of hot spot location and based on the improved fish swarm gray combination prediction method, the hot spot information discrimination process was designed. On this basis, an on-line hot spot detection operation and maintenance system of photovoltaic power station(PVPS) based on UAV infrared and visible light detection was constructed, and the accuracy of hot spot detection results of the system was verified by experiments. The system has high accuracy of hot spot location, can actively screen out the external influencing factors of photovoltaic module hot spot, and realize automatic alarm and location investigation of complex hot spot.
传统的运维热点检测方法在多种因素的影响下存在检测效率低、热点原因难以识别等问题。本文基于无人机(UAV)检测技术,结合基于斜率约束的红外图像和可见光图像热点定位配准方法,基于改进的鱼群灰度组合预测方法,设计了热点信息识别过程。在此基础上,构建了基于无人机红外和可见光检测的光伏电站在线热点检测运维系统,并通过实验验证了系统热点检测结果的准确性。该系统热点定位精度高,能主动筛选出光伏组件热点的外部影响因素,实现复杂热点的自动报警和定位调查。
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引用次数: 5
State-of-Charge Balance Control of Distributed Battery Systems with Distinct State-of-Health in DC Microgrids 直流微电网中不同健康状态分布式电池系统的状态平衡控制
Pub Date : 2021-07-18 DOI: 10.1109/ICPSAsia52756.2021.9621493
Yun Yang, Siew-Chong Tan, S. Hui
This paper presents a three-layer hierarchical control scheme that can balance the state-of-charge (SoC) of distributed battery systems (DBS) with distinct state-of-health (SoH) in DC microgrids under the conditions of load variations and cyber attacks. The tertiary control is a consensus control that provides SoC references for the secondary control. The secondary control is an adaptive droop control that provides output voltage deviation reference for the primary control. The primary control is a local proportional-integral (PI) control that tracks the output voltage reference of DBS via the regulation of the grid-connected converter. The effectiveness of the proposed control scheme is validated via a 100 kW photovoltaic (PV)-battery system comprising one new battery and two aged batteries installed on a 380 V DC bus.
本文提出了一种三层分层控制方案,可以在负载变化和网络攻击的情况下平衡直流微电网中具有不同健康状态(SoH)的分布式电池系统的荷电状态(SoC)。三级控制是为二级控制提供SoC参考的共识控制。二次控制是一种自适应下垂控制,为一次控制提供输出电压偏差参考。主控制是一个局部比例积分(PI)控制,通过并网变换器的调节跟踪DBS的输出参考电压。通过安装在380 V直流母线上的100千瓦光伏电池系统,验证了所提出的控制方案的有效性,该系统由一个新电池和两个旧电池组成。
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引用次数: 7
Competition-Oriented Demand Response Strategic Bidding Model for Retailers Considering Backup Scheme 考虑备份方案的面向竞争的零售商需求响应策略投标模型
Pub Date : 2021-07-18 DOI: 10.1109/ICPSAsia52756.2021.9621348
Zihan Chen, Zhenyuan Zhang, Peng Wang, Qi Huang
With the fierce competition of electricity market, demand response (DR) amount is also traded in day-ahead market. From the perspective of retailers, just considering its inside customers’ characteristic is not enough, the competitiveness of DR bidding also matters, because it depends on the qualification of participating in DR market. Thus, this paper constructs a complicated DR strategic bidding model. Firstly, based on managed residential customers’ DR feature, optimize bidding considering competitors’ risk preference with deep reinforcement learning approach and guarantee the probability of winning DR bid as much as possible. Secondly, in the actual quotation process, the inaccuracy DR declaration amount or retailers’ personal bidding preference, aggressive or moderate style, leads to DR vacancy punishment or overage waste, so that produce the loss of income. Based on previous bidding model, design backup schemes for different types of retailers in advance to reduce loss. Then utilize real case to verify the effectiveness of proposed DR bidding models.
随着电力市场竞争的激烈,需求响应量也在日前市场进行交易。从零售商的角度来看,仅仅考虑其内部客户的特点是不够的,DR投标的竞争力也很重要,因为它取决于参与DR市场的资格。因此,本文构建了一个复杂的DR战略投标模型。首先,基于托管住宅客户的DR特征,考虑竞争对手的风险偏好,采用深度强化学习方法优化投标,尽可能保证DR中标概率;其次,在实际报价过程中,由于DR申报金额的不准确或零售商个人的投标偏好,激进或温和的风格,导致DR空置处罚或超额浪费,从而产生收入损失。基于之前的投标模型,提前为不同类型的零售商设计备用方案,减少损失。然后利用实际案例验证了所提出的DR投标模型的有效性。
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引用次数: 0
Bidirectional Leakage Current-Less Modulation of H6 Inverter with Reduced Switching Loss 降低开关损耗的H6逆变器双向无漏电流调制
Pub Date : 2021-07-18 DOI: 10.1109/ICPSAsia52756.2021.9621726
Zaixun Ling, Jing-Jing Zheng, Yibo Cui, Yu Guo, Zihong Zhang, Yiqun Kang, Mingjie Gao
Transformerless photovoltaic (PV) inverters are more widely adopted due to their high efficiency, low cost, light weight, etc. H6 transformerless PV inverters can suppress leakage current while do not have the bidirectional capability for a photovoltaic-energy storage system (PV-ES). Therefore, this paper proposes a bidirectional leakage current-less modulation strategy for H6 inverter topology, by improving the modulation strategy in the rectifier stage, only two switches are turned on at high frequency in rectifier mode. The leakage current in inverter and rectifier mode can be suppressed while switching loss can also be reduced. Finally, to validate the proposed modulation strategy, a simulation is also built and tested. The simulation results validate the theoretical analysis.
无变压器光伏逆变器以其效率高、成本低、重量轻等优点得到越来越广泛的应用。H6无变压器光伏逆变器可以抑制泄漏电流,但不具备光伏储能系统(PV- es)的双向能力。因此,本文针对H6逆变器拓扑提出了一种双向无漏流调制策略,通过改进整流级调制策略,在整流模式下高频只开闭两个开关。逆变和整流模式下的漏电流可以被抑制,同时也可以降低开关损耗。最后,为了验证所提出的调制策略,还建立了仿真并进行了测试。仿真结果验证了理论分析的正确性。
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引用次数: 0
Coordinated Optimization of Electricity-Gas Integrated Energy System 电-气一体化能源系统的协同优化
Pub Date : 2021-07-18 DOI: 10.1109/ICPSAsia52756.2021.9621477
Jing Gou, Gang Wu, Jingrong Guo, Yongtao Guo
This paper proposes a coordinated optimal dispatch model for the electricity-gas integrated energy system considering multiple reserve resources. The model takes into account the reserve resources including generator reserve capacity, energy storage equipment and interruptible load, and considers the transmission capacity of the reserve capacity in the electricity and natural gas network in the face of emergencies to ensure the safety and reliability of system operation. The simulation results confirm that the coordinated optimal scheduling model of the electricity-gas integrated energy system with multiple reserve resources proposed in this paper can reduce the total operating cost of the system and improve the flexibility of system operation.
提出了考虑多储备资源的电-气一体化能源系统协调优化调度模型。该模型考虑了备用资源包括发电机备用容量、储能设备和可中断负荷,并考虑了备用容量在电力和天然气网络中面对突发事件时的传输能力,以保证系统运行的安全可靠。仿真结果表明,本文提出的多储备资源电-气一体化能源系统协调优化调度模型能够降低系统总运行成本,提高系统运行灵活性。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
2021 IEEE/IAS Industrial and Commercial Power System Asia (I&CPS Asia)
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