The Effect of Agricultural Support Policies on Economic Development and Growth

Burcu Guvenek, B. Afşar, Z. Karaçor
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Abstract

Agricultural support policies form the basis of sustainable development plans to ensure economic sustainability within the framework of global development goals. In the analysis, the total production of 10 agricultural products (cotton, sunflower, soybean, wheat, corn, rye, oat, paddy, and safflower), which are important in terms of agricultural production in Turkey, was used for the years between 1980 and 2020. Analyzes were performed using the EViews-9 package program. The intervention analysis method was used in the study. First, the appropriate ARIMA model was determined, and then a dummy variable was added to the model for 2006, the year the support applications started, and the said effects were revealed. According to the analysis results, agricultural support policy and price difference payment support, which is one of the agricultural support instruments, has a positive effect of approximately 47% on the total agricultural production in the selected products group.
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农业支持政策对经济发展和增长的影响
农业支持政策是可持续发展计划的基础,以确保全球发展目标框架内的经济可持续性。在分析中,使用了1980年至2020年期间在土耳其农业生产中重要的10种农产品(棉花、向日葵、大豆、小麦、玉米、黑麦、燕麦、水稻和红花)的总产量。使用EViews-9软件包程序进行分析。本研究采用干预分析方法。首先,确定了合适的ARIMA模型,然后在模型中加入了支持申请开始的2006年的虚拟变量,并揭示了上述影响。分析结果显示,作为农业支持手段之一的农业支持政策和差价支付支持对所选产品组的农业总产量的正向影响约为47%。
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