An analysis of economic increase fluctuation in Shaanxi Province based on VAR model

Zhou Jiong, W. Lei
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Abstract

On the foundation of vector auto regression model, this paper applies impulse response function and variance decomposition to make up positive analysis, which refers to economic increase fluctuation in Shaanxi provience. The result shows that export has an important position among the many variables, and the innovation from export is concerned with fluctuation of GDP. At the end of the paper, accroding to the result of the analysis, it proposed some related policies.
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基于VAR模型的陕西省经济增长波动分析
本文在向量自回归模型的基础上,运用脉冲响应函数和方差分解对陕西省经济增长波动进行了实证分析。结果表明,出口在众多变量中占有重要地位,出口创新与GDP波动密切相关。在文章的最后,根据分析结果,提出了相关的政策建议。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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