Implementation of differential repeat-pass SAR interferometry for (i) the search for earthquake precursory land-cover deformation in Taiwan in co-ordination with the integrated Search for Taiwanese Earthquake Precursors iSTEP' Taiwanese program for promoting research excellence; and (ii) the assessm

W. Boerner, Kun Shan Chen
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Abstract

Worldwide, medium-to short-term earthquake prediction is becoming ever more essential for safeguarding man due to an un-abating population increase, but hitherto, there have been no verifiable methods of reliable earthquake prediction developed -except for a few isolated examples of such in China and in Greece. This dilemma is a result of previous and still current approaches to earthquake prediction which are squarely based on the seismic measurement of crustal movements, observable only after a tectonic stress-change discharge (earthquake) has occurred. The prediction models derived from past histories of measurements were mainly carried out during the past 40-50 years, although initiated soon after the San Francisco earthquake of 1906. During the past decade it was proved and shown that it is not possible to derive reliable models for earthquake predictions from crustal movement measurements alone - as valuable and as indispensable those indeed are - and that an entirely new approach must be taken and rigorously pursued over many years and decades to come, and most likely throughout this twenty-first century. Of considerable importance will be the full integration of multi-band (P-K Band) repeat-pass differential interferometric Polarimetric Synthetic Aperture Radar (POL-SAR) space borne and high-altitude platform monitoring operations which will be considered here in conjunction with "seismo-electromagnetic " ground measurements. It will be shown that Taiwan is ideally suited for studying earthquake related electromagnetic precursor studies in that the island is separated from other continental regions, and there exist the resources, the dedication and will power for advancing our knowledge most rapidly. Both land-based and sub-oceanic measurement networks already exist, which need to be upgraded and perfected. With the aid of experienced and knowledgeable experts, this will be done soon.
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实施差分重复通SAR干涉测量(i)在台湾寻找地震前兆的土地覆盖变形,与台湾地震前兆的综合搜索isstep台湾计划协调,以促进卓越的研究;(ii)评估
在世界范围内,由于人口的持续增长,中短期地震预报对于保护人类变得越来越重要,但迄今为止,除了在中国和希腊的一些孤立的例子外,还没有开发出可验证的可靠地震预报方法。这种困境是以前和现在的地震预测方法的结果,这些方法完全基于地壳运动的地震测量,只有在构造应力变化释放(地震)发生后才能观察到。虽然在1906年旧金山地震后不久就开始了,但从过去的测量历史中得出的预测模型主要是在过去40-50年间进行的。在过去的十年中,事实证明,仅仅从地壳运动测量中推导出可靠的地震预测模型是不可能的——这些模型确实是有价值和不可或缺的——必须采取一种全新的方法,并在今后的许多年和几十年里,很可能在整个二十一世纪内,严格地追求这种方法。相当重要的是将多波段(P-K波段)重复通过差分干涉偏振合成孔径雷达(POL-SAR)的空间机载和高空平台监测业务完全整合起来,这里将与“地震电磁”地面测量一起考虑。台湾是研究地震相关电磁前兆的理想之地,因为台湾与其他大陆地区是分开的,并且有资源、奉献精神和意志力来最迅速地推进我们的知识。陆地和海底测量网络都已经存在,需要升级和完善。在经验丰富、知识渊博的专家的帮助下,这项工作将很快完成。
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