Positive Predictions of International Institutions, Demographic Bonuses and Covid-19: Will Indonesia Really Enjoy the Demographic Bonus Amid the Raging Covid-19 Pandemic?

Endro Tri Susdarwono
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Abstract

This study aims to provide a description of the positive predictions of international institutions, demographic bonuses and covid-19: will Indonesia really enjoy the demographic bonus in the midst of the Covid-19 pandemic? This study uses a qualitative method that uses a type of literature study which is carried out by examining several theories that depart from a problem then analyzed from various literatures ranging from available journals, the internet, and various existing facts. The data collection method used is through data reduction techniques, namely the selection, simplification, and transportation of data so that results or conclusions are drawn up systematically. This study concludes that the experiences of South Korea, China, and the United States are very different from Indonesia, these countries can enjoy a demographic bonus without any barrier variables in the form of the Covid-19 pandemic. Meanwhile, the demographic bonus with the growth of baby boomers in the Golden Indonesia era was obtained by this extraordinary event. Both indicators and parameters will of course differ from these countries. So this is a very big gamble for Indonesia to be in accordance with what has been predicted by the international institutions or vice versa.
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国际机构、人口红利和Covid-19的积极预测:在肆虐的Covid-19大流行中,印度尼西亚真的会享受人口红利吗?
本研究旨在对国际机构、人口红利和covid-19的积极预测进行描述:在covid-19大流行期间,印度尼西亚真的会享受人口红利吗?本研究采用了一种定性的方法,它使用了一种文献研究,通过检查与问题无关的几个理论,然后从各种文献(包括可获得的期刊、互联网和各种现有事实)中进行分析。所使用的数据收集方法是通过数据简化技术,即选择、简化和传输数据,从而系统地得出结果或结论。该研究的结论是,韩国、中国和美国的经验与印度尼西亚非常不同,这些国家可以享受人口红利,而不会以新冠肺炎大流行的形式出现任何障碍变量。与此同时,黄金印尼时代婴儿潮一代的增长带来的人口红利,也是通过这一非同寻常的事件获得的。这些国家的指标和参数当然会有所不同。因此,对印尼来说,是按照国际机构的预测行事,还是相反,这是一场非常大的赌博。
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