Hubungan Kausalitas Antara Sektor Keuangan Dan Sektor Riil di Indonesia

F. Gunawan
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引用次数: 4

Abstract

Economic activities in the real sector is very important, because it has a strong connection with consumption, jobs, and income. The financial sector has the important task to be an intermediary to facilitate the real sector for obtaining funds. The purpose of this study is to see the causal relationship of the financial sector with the real sector of Indonesia from 1986-2015. By using the VAR (Vector Auto Regression) method, the results show that unemployment and banking sector, unemployment and capital market as well as GDP and banking sector have bi-directional causality pattern, whereas capital market and GDP in Indonesia has a one-way causality pattern. Keywords: Financial Sector, Real Sector, VAR
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金融部门和实际部门之间的因果关系
实体部门的经济活动非常重要,因为它与消费、就业和收入密切相关。金融部门的重要任务是充当中介,帮助实体部门获得资金。本研究的目的是观察1986-2015年印尼金融部门与实体部门的因果关系。运用向量自回归(VAR)方法,结果表明,失业与银行业、失业与资本市场、GDP与银行业存在双向因果关系,而印尼的资本市场与GDP存在单向因果关系。关键词:金融部门,实体部门,VAR
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