The Labour-Augmented K S Model: A Laboratory for the Analysis of Institutional and Policy Regimes

G. Dosi, M. C. Pereira, A. Roventini, M. Virgillito
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引用次数: 3

Abstract

In this work we discuss the research findings from the labour-augmented Schumpeter meeting Keynes (K S) agent-based model. It comprises comparative dynamics experiments on an artificial economy populated by heterogeneous, interacting agents, as workers, firms, banks and the government. The exercises are characterized by different degrees of labour flexibility, or by institutional shocks entailing labour market structural reforms, wherein the phenomenon of hysteresis is endogenous and pervasive. The K S model constitutes a laboratory to evaluate the effects of new institutional arrangements as active/passive labour market policies, and fiscal austerity. In this perspective, the model allows mimicking many of the customary policy responses which the European Union and many Latin American countries have embraced in reaction to the recent economic crises. The obtained results seem to indicate, however, that most of the proposed policies are likely inadequate to tackle the short-term crises consequences, and even risk demoting the long-run economic prospects. More objectively, the conclusions offer a possible explanation to the negative path traversed by economies like Brazil, where many of the mentioned policies were applied in a short period, and hint about some risks ahead.
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劳动力增强型K - S模型:制度和政策机制分析的实验室
在这项工作中,我们讨论了劳动力增强型熊彼特会见凯恩斯(K S)基于主体的模型的研究结果。它包括对人工经济的比较动力学实验,该经济由工人、公司、银行和政府等异质相互作用的主体组成。这些活动的特点是不同程度的劳动力灵活性,或涉及劳动力市场结构改革的体制冲击,其中滞后现象是内生的和普遍的。K S模型构成了一个实验室,用于评估主动/被动劳动力市场政策和财政紧缩等新制度安排的影响。从这个角度来看,该模式可以模仿欧洲联盟和许多拉丁美洲国家为应对最近的经济危机而采取的许多惯常政策反应。然而,获得的结果似乎表明,大多数拟议的政策可能不足以解决短期危机的后果,甚至有可能降低长期经济前景。更客观地说,这些结论为巴西等经济体所经历的负面道路提供了一种可能的解释,并暗示了未来的一些风险。上述许多政策都是在短期内实施的。
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