Calculation of Value At Risk using Historical Simulation, Variance Covariance and Monte Carlo Simulation Methods

M. R. Mahaputra, Andri Yandi, Amalina Maharani
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Abstract

The purpose of this study is to measure the Value at Risk of single assets of companies listed on the Jakarta Islamic Index using the Historical Simulation, Variance Covariance and Monte Carlo Simulation methods. The research method is defined as a scientific way to obtain data with specific purposes and uses. The research design used in this study is a comparative study, this study uses data analysis methods with a quantitative approach. The results of the research are based on validity testing using the Backtesting Kupiec method and Basel traffic light known that all three methods are used in this study produces a valid (accurate) VaR value for used.
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用历史模拟、方差协方差和蒙特卡罗模拟方法计算风险价值
本研究的目的是利用历史模拟、方差协方差和蒙特卡罗模拟方法来衡量雅加达伊斯兰指数上市公司的单一资产风险价值。研究方法被定义为一种获取具有特定目的和用途的数据的科学方法。本研究采用的研究设计是比较研究,本研究采用数据分析的方法与定量的方法。本研究的结果是基于使用回测Kupiec方法和巴塞尔交通灯的有效性测试,已知所有三种方法都在本研究中使用,产生一个有效的(准确的)VaR值。
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