Actividad solar y su asociación con el régimen de lluvias en El Salvador

Ángel Sol Sánchez, P. Sierra-Figueredo, E. A. Marinero-Orantes
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引用次数: 4

Abstract

Numerous publications show evidences about the possible links between the variability of the Solar Activity and the terrestrial climate, manifested in accumulated rainfall, atmospheric pressure and temperature, among other parameters for different geographical latitudes and epochs. Climate variability, including the observed trend, is known to have a component dependent on global warming of anthropogenic origin in the modern era, which apparently is modulated by the external action of the Space Weather, which prints fluctuations "from outside ", Imposing rhythms that overlap the endogenous ones, which is evidenced in the multi-year records of the climatic variables. The hypothesis of association between the cosmic agents and the climate of the planet is proposed. With this work developed during the years 2016 and 2017, result of the classic statistical analysis of accumulated rainfall records of 8 stations provided by the General Direction of the Environmental Observatory, Ministry of the Environment and Natural Resources of El Salvador (DGOA-MARN), we have wanted, as objective, to show its behavior for a period of 45 years (1971-2015) and analyze its possible association with the variability of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity in the Central American region, for whose region we have not found previous original publications where undertake said analysis. The classic statistical results of the time series obtained are shown for each of the Stations and as a whole, offering the positive conclusions of the authors regarding the validity of the association hypothesis.
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萨尔瓦多的太阳活动及其与降雨制度的联系
许多出版物显示了太阳活动变化与陆地气候之间可能存在联系的证据,这表现在不同地理纬度和时代的累积降雨量、大气压力和温度以及其他参数上。众所周知,气候变率,包括观测到的趋势,具有一个依赖于现代人为原因造成的全球变暖的分量,而这个分量显然受到空间天气的外部作用的调节,空间天气"从外部"印制波动,施加与内源性波动重叠的节奏,这在气候变量的多年记录中得到了证明。提出了宇宙因素与地球气候之间存在联系的假设。根据萨尔瓦多环境和自然资源部环境观测台总台(DGOA-MARN)提供的8个站点累积降雨记录的经典统计分析结果,我们在2016年和2017年开展了这项工作,我们希望,作为目标,显示其在45年(1971-2015)期间的行为,并分析其与中美洲地区太阳和地磁活动变化的可能关联,对于该地区,我们没有找到先前进行上述分析的原始出版物。所获得的时间序列的经典统计结果显示了每一个台站和作为一个整体,提供了作者关于关联假设有效性的积极结论。
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