Value at Risk and the Cross-Section of Expected Returns: Evidence from China

Abstract

In the Chinese stock market, we find that the cross-sectional relation between value-at-risk (VaR) and expected returns is unclear, which is different from the recent findings in the United States. Additionally, VaR is negatively related with expected returns and cannot be explained by idiosyncratic volatility, momentum, short-term reversal, or maximum daily return during a high consumer confidence period. In contrast, no significant relation is observed between VaR and expected returns during a period of low consumer confidence.