A Study on Estimating of Probability Distribution and Mean Life of Bridge Member for Effective Maintenance of the Bdrige

Yongjun Lee, Minjae Lee
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

This study found a proper parametric life distribution based on maintenance history data of each bridge member under the jurisdiction of the Korea Expressway Corporation for the past 10 years by introducing the concept of reliability and suggested a measure to calculate the mean life and reliability of each bridge member using the parameter obtained with the maximum-likelihood classification. As a result of analyzing the exponential distribution, weibull distribution and log normal distribution being utilized frequently in order to find the parametric life distribution type which well described the life data of each bridge member, it was found that the log normal distribution and weibull distribution described the characteristics of the relevant life data the best. As a result of calculating the mean life of each bridge member based on the estimated parameter, the average life of the steel bridge coating was 18.51 years which was the longest, followed by the bridge deck as 17.56 years. The mean life of the drainage facility and the bridge bearing were 12.27 years and 12.57 years respectively, showing the shortest life.
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有效维护桥梁的桥梁构件概率分布和平均寿命估算研究
本研究以韩国道路公社管辖的各桥梁构件近10年的维修历史数据为基础,引入可靠度概念,找到了合理的参数寿命分布,并提出了利用最大似然分类得到的参数计算各桥梁构件平均寿命和可靠度的方法。通过对指数分布、威布尔分布和对数正态分布等常用的参数寿命分布类型的分析,发现对数正态分布和威布尔分布最能描述桥梁各构件的寿命数据特征。根据预估参数计算各桥梁构件的平均寿命,钢桥涂层的平均寿命最长,为18.51年,其次是桥面,为17.56年。排水设施和桥梁支座的平均寿命分别为12.27年和12.57年,寿命最短。
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