Impact of Macroeconomic Variables, American Stock Market Index and COVID-19 Pandemic on Indonesia Capital Market Development (Time Series Study 1990-2020)

Almira Rizqia, P. Astuty, Heru Subiyantoro
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

The purpose of this study is 1.) To analyze the influence of foreign investment on the development of the Indonesian capital market. 2).To analyze the influence of the Exchange Rate on the Development of the Indonesian Capital Market. 3).To analyze the influence of the Interest Rate on the Development of the Indonesian Capital Market. 4).To analyze the influence of the Dow Jones Stock Market Index on the Development of the Indonesian Capital Market. 5).To analyze the influence of the Covid-19 Pandemic (dummy variable) on the Development of the Indonesian Capital Market.6). In this study, secondary data and library research were used as a technique for collecting data, using semi-annual data for the period 1990-2020. The research was processed using the EViews 11 program with the multiple linear regression method. The results of the research are known if 1.) Foreign Direct Investment has a significant and positive effect on Capital Market Development. 2.) Exchange Rates have a significant and positive influence on the Development of the Indonesian Capital Market. 3.) Interest Rates have a significant and negative effect on the Development of the Indonesian Capital Market. 4.) The Dow Jones Stock Market Index has a significant and positive effect on the Development of the Indonesian Capital Market. 5.) The Covid-19 pandemic had a significant and negative effect on the Development of the Indonesian Capital Market in the period 1990 to 2020. The results of this study are expected to contribute to policy holders regarding the role of macroeconomic variables on the development of the capital market, so that in the future it can be one of the references in conducting the policy mix so as to improve the development of the Indonesian capital market.
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宏观经济变量、美国股市指数和新冠疫情对印尼资本市场发展的影响(1990-2020年时间序列研究)
本研究的目的是1.)分析外商投资对印尼资本市场发展的影响。2).分析汇率对印尼资本市场发展的影响3).分析利率对印尼资本市场发展的影响4).分析道琼斯股票市场指数对印尼资本市场发展的影响5).分析新冠肺炎疫情(虚拟变量)对印尼资本市场发展的影响6)。在本研究中,使用二手数据和图书馆研究作为收集数据的技术,使用了1990-2020年期间的半年度数据。本研究采用EViews 11程序,采用多元线性回归方法进行处理。这项研究的结果是已知的,如果1。外商直接投资对资本市场发展具有显著的正向影响。汇率对印尼资本市场的发展有着显著的积极影响。利率对印尼资本市场的发展有显著的负面影响。道琼斯股票市场指数对印尼资本市场的发展具有显著的正向影响。新冠肺炎疫情对1990年至2020年期间印尼资本市场的发展产生了重大负面影响。本研究的结果有望对政策持有人在宏观经济变量对资本市场发展的作用方面有所贡献,从而在未来进行政策组合时可以作为参考之一,从而改善印尼资本市场的发展。
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