USE OF SATELLITE INFORMATION IN THE PREDICTION OF EL NIÑO EVENTS

N. Timofeyev, A. V. Yurovskiy
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Abstract

Materials from surveys of 1982–1983 and 1997–1998 are analyzed for the two most powerful El Niño events in the 20th century, and four medium-intensity events are examined for the period 1986–1995. On the basis of online tracking of the dynamics of radiation processes in the equatorial ocean from space, a method is proposed for predicting different El Niño phases in five standard regions for up to 16 months in advance.
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利用卫星信息预测el niÑo事件
本文分析了1982-1983年和1997-1998年两次20世纪最强烈的El Niño事件的调查资料,并研究了1986-1995年期间的四个中等强度事件。在空间在线跟踪赤道海洋辐射过程动态的基础上,提出了一种提前16个月预测五个标准区域不同El Niño相位的方法。
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