Does Pandemic Covid-19 Affect Foreign Tourist Visit in Jakarta?

F. Rahmawati, Nurafni Eltivia, N. I. Riwajanti, H. Wahyuni
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Abstract

The purpose of this study is to predict foreign tourists visiting Jakarta. This research uses quantitative data methods. The data of this research is data on foreign tourist visits to Jakarta which were taken from January 2011 to September 2020 from the National Statistical Bureau. The results of the analysis using exponential smoothing with the help of Microsoft Excel show that the forecasting results in the 2021 period will increase by 16% from the 2020 period due to the spread of the global pandemic, namely Covid-19. this offers optimism for a revival for the tourism sector as well as for other sectors in Jakarta. Keywords—forecasting, exponential smoothing, foreign tourist, Covid-19 pandemic
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大流行Covid-19是否会影响到雅加达的外国游客?
本研究的目的是预测来雅加达旅游的外国游客。本研究采用定量数据方法。本研究的数据是2011年1月至2020年9月期间来自国家统计局的外国游客访问雅加达的数据。利用微软Excel进行指数平滑分析的结果显示,由于全球大流行Covid-19的传播,2021年的预测结果将比2020年提高16%。这使人们对雅加达旅游业和其他部门的复苏感到乐观。关键词:预测,指数平滑,外国游客,Covid-19大流行
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