Angola’s 2017 Elections and the start of a Post-Dos Santos Era

Z. Matsimbe, Nelson Domingos
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Abstract

For the first time in the history of its multiparty democracy, Angola held general elections in August 2017 without President José Eduardo dos Santos on the ballot paper. In 2016 dos Santos decided not to run again for the presidency but he remained the party chair. Instead, João Manuel Gonçalves Lourenço was nominated to replace dos Santos as the MPLA candidate. The departure of dos Santos raised expectations that there would be political change in the country. However, this did not happen because the MPLA won a qualified majority in the National Assembly despite their decreased support compared to the results of the 2012 general elections. Though the 2017 elections were considered to have been well prepared and executed, the outcome was challenged by the opposition on the grounds of irregularities in voter registration, the accreditation of party agents, and problems in both counting and announcing the results. The change of leader raised a number of questions regarding the implications of a double centre of power in the MPLA and presidency. How João Lourenço will manage the question of the factions created by his rise to power is a matter of concern, together with whether he will be able to end the hegemony and economic power of dos Santos and his allies. He will also have to deal with the ongoing economic crisis and boost declining public trust in the MPLA. By addressing some of these issues this article provides an important contribution to understanding the electoral processes in Angola.
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安哥拉2017年大选和后多斯桑托斯时代的开始
2017年8月,安哥拉举行了多党制民主历史上的第一次大选,总统何塞·爱德华多·多斯桑托斯没有出现在选票上。2016年,多斯桑托斯决定不再竞选总统,但他仍然是党主席。取而代之的是,若奥·曼努埃尔·贡阿尔维斯·洛伦特被提名取代多斯桑托斯成为人民解放运动的候选人。多斯桑托斯的离任提高了人们对该国将发生政治变革的期望。然而,这并没有发生,因为MPLA赢得了国民议会的合格多数,尽管他们的支持率与2012年大选的结果相比有所下降。虽然2017年的选举被认为是准备和执行得很好,但反对党以选民登记、政党代理人的资格认证、计票和公布结果存在问题等为由,对结果提出了质疑。领导人的更换提出了一些关于MPLA和总统双重权力中心的影响的问题。若奥洛伦佩罗将如何处理因他上台而产生的派系问题,以及他是否能够结束多斯桑托斯及其盟友的霸权和经济实力,都是一个令人担忧的问题。他还必须应对持续的经济危机,并提高公众对安哥拉人民解放运动日益下降的信任。本文通过讨论其中的一些问题,为了解安哥拉的选举进程作出了重要贡献。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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