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Book review: Politics, government and governance in Lesotho since 1993 Francis K. Makoa 书评:1993年以来莱索托的政治、政府和治理
Pub Date : 2023-06-01 DOI: 10.20940/jae/2023/v22i1a8
T. Lodge
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引用次数: 0
The transition and formation of government after Lesotho’s 2022 elections 莱索托2022年大选后政府的过渡和组建
Pub Date : 2023-06-01 DOI: 10.20940/jae/2023/v22i1a2
H. Nyane
Most assessments and analyses of Lesotho’s elections have focused on the post-election conflict. There has been little attention to the role of the Independent Electoral Commission (IEC) as the key player with the constitutional mandate to ensure credible, free, and fair electoral processes. During the polls on 7 October 2022, the role of the IEC came to the fore in terms of the extent of their preparedness for and actual performance in managing the electoral processes. Adopting a qualitative approach that relies on interviews with purposefully selected respondents and document analysis, this paper assesses these two main aspects of the IEC. The paper argues that compared to previous elections from 2012, the IEC does not seem to have been adequately prepared to manage the October 2022 elections, and as such, it had a poor performance this time.
对莱索托选举的大多数评估和分析都集中在选举后的冲突上。独立选举委员会(IEC)作为宪法授权确保可信、自由和公平选举过程的关键角色,很少受到关注。在2022年10月7日的民意调查中,独立选举委员会的作用在管理选举过程的准备程度和实际表现方面脱颖而出。本文采用定性方法,依靠有目的地选择的受访者的访谈和文件分析,评估了IEC的这两个主要方面。该论文认为,与2012年以来的前几次选举相比,独立选举委员会似乎没有为管理2022年10月的选举做好充分准备,因此,它这次的表现不佳。
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引用次数: 0
The impact of intra-party conflicts on the electoral performance of the All Basotho convention in Lesotho’s 2022 elections 在莱索托2022年选举中,党内冲突对全巴索托大会选举表现的影响
Pub Date : 2023-06-01 DOI: 10.20940/jae/2023/v22i1a5
F. Lekaba
The literature on Lesotho’s politics and political parties, particularly after 2012, focuses on their alliances and coalitions, their relationships with the military and the seemingly instability of coalitions. There is less focus on intra-party instability and its impact on political party electoral performance. This article uses a critical literature review to analyse the poor electoral performance of the All Basotho Convention (ABC) in the October 2022 elections and how this is a consequence of its internal conflicts. The ABC experienced intra-party conflicts that increased with the removal of its leader, Prime Minister Thomas Thabane, in 2020. The argument advanced in this article is that the ABC experienced a dramatic decline in electoral support in October 2022, with the drastic loss of forty seats, as a result of its internal conflicts. The party’s support had grown gradually since its formation in 2006 but dropped suddenly and dramatically in the 2022 elections. This article will contribute to the scholarship on the analysis of the electoral performance of political parties in the continent.
关于莱索托政治和政党的文献,特别是在2012年之后,主要关注他们的联盟和联盟,他们与军方的关系以及联盟的看似不稳定。对党内不稳定及其对政党选举表现的影响的关注较少。本文使用批判性文献综述来分析所有巴索托公约(ABC)在2022年10月选举中的糟糕选举表现,以及这是其内部冲突的结果。ABC经历了党内冲突,随着其领导人、总理托马斯·塔班(Thomas Thabane)在2020年下台而加剧。本文提出的论点是,由于内部冲突,ABC在2022年10月的选举支持率急剧下降,失去了40个席位。自2006年成立以来,该党的支持率逐渐上升,但在2022年的选举中突然大幅下降。本文将有助于对非洲大陆政党选举表现分析的学术研究。
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引用次数: 0
Reasons for the low voter turnout in Lesotho’s 2022 elections 莱索托2022年大选投票率低的原因
Pub Date : 2023-06-01 DOI: 10.20940/jae/2023/v22i1a7
P. Mudau, H. Nyane
Voter turnout in Lesotho’s 2022 National Assembly elections was at an all-time low of 37%. Since the country returned to multi-party electoral democracy in 1993, voter turnout has steadily decreased. Studies have been undertaken in Lesotho and globally to investigate the reasons for this phenomenon. While the turnout in the 2022 elections is a continuation of the pattern of declining voter turnout in Lesotho and globally, factors specific to each election may provide further insight into this intractable problem. The purpose of this article is to critically analyse the main reasons for the low turnout in the 2022 elections. The study uses qualitative methodology: it relies on primary and secondary data sources such as reports, targeted interviews, newspapers and literature, and legislation. The paper uses Stockemerian clustering of turnout variables to contend that election-specific factors can help to explain the steep decrease in voter turnout in the 2022 elections in Lesotho. Those factors are poor civic and voter education, political fragmentation, and some institutionalist variables.
莱索托2022年国民议会选举的投票率为37%,创历史新低。自1993年该国恢复多党选举民主以来,选民投票率不断下降。已经在莱索托和全球范围内进行了研究,以调查这一现象的原因。虽然2022年选举的投票率是莱索托和全球选民投票率下降模式的延续,但每次选举的具体因素可能会让我们进一步了解这个棘手的问题。本文的目的是批判性地分析2022年选举投票率低的主要原因。该研究采用定性方法:它依赖于主要和次要数据来源,如报告、有针对性的访谈、报纸和文献以及立法。本文使用投票率变量的斯托克默里聚类来论证选举特定因素可以帮助解释莱索托2022年选举中选民投票率的急剧下降。这些因素包括糟糕的公民和选民教育、政治分裂以及一些制度变量。
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引用次数: 0
Screening political party candidates and the implications for electoral performance 筛选政党候选人及其对选举表现的影响
Pub Date : 2023-06-01 DOI: 10.20940/jae/2023/v22i1a4
Tlohang W. Letsie
The formation of the Revolution for Prosperity (RFP) party in March 2022 has radically altered Lesotho’s political landscape. Apart from the new calibre of political leadership, the party has, in line with its name, revolutionised some of the traditions long held by Lesotho’s political parties. Contrary to the closed primary elections that most parties use, the RFP introduced a combination of centralised and technocratic approaches in determining the list of party candidates for the October 2022 elections. With the former, the party reserved candidateship in eleven constituencies for persons appointed by the leader. Four front runners in the primary elections in the remaining constituencies would be subjected to various screening methods with the final determination to be made by the party leadership. The detractors have mocked the RFP’s approach as undemocratic and undermining the will of the people. The party also experienced internal resistance that led to it being taken to the law courts where some decisions were reversed. Using various data collection methods, this paper discusses the strategies used by the RFP and shows that much as they are not common in Lesotho, these strategies are not entirely new in politics as they are used in other democratic systems. An examination of the October 2022 elections results shows that despite the court challenges, the RFP’s candidate selection strategies had a positive impact on the party’s performance as well as on the profile of the resultant National Assembly.
2022年3月,繁荣革命党(RFP)的成立从根本上改变了莱索托的政治格局。除了政治领导的新水平,该党还改变了莱索托政党长期持有的一些传统,正如其名称所示。与大多数政党使用的封闭初选不同,RFP在确定2022年10月选举的政党候选人名单时引入了集中和技术官僚方法的结合。对于前者,该党在11个选区保留了由领导人任命的候选人资格。其余选区的4名候选人将接受各种审查,最终由党领导层决定。批评者嘲笑RFP的做法是不民主的,破坏了人民的意愿。该党也经历了内部阻力,导致其被带到法院,其中一些决定被推翻。本文使用各种数据收集方法,讨论了RFP使用的策略,并表明尽管它们在莱索托并不常见,但这些策略在政治上并不完全是新的,因为它们在其他民主制度中使用。对2022年10月选举结果的研究表明,尽管受到法院的质疑,但RFP的候选人选择策略对该党的表现以及由此产生的国民议会的形象产生了积极影响。
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引用次数: 0
Two Decades of Democracy in Nigeria: Between Consolidation and Regression 尼日利亚民主二十年:巩固与倒退之间
Pub Date : 2022-10-01 DOI: 10.20940/jae/2022/v21i2a8
Kelvin Ashindorbe, N. Danjibo
The year 1999 marked a watershed moment in the political history of Nigeria with the transition from military to civilian rule and the beginning of the Fourth Republic. Two decades later, the country has not only witnessed the longest period of civilian democratic rule but has also achieved a milestone with the alternation of power between the two dominant political parties. The augury, however, points to a democracy oscillating between consolidation and regression. This paper therefore interrogates two decades of democratisation in Nigeria in the context of the two main parties, the conduct of elections, and the level of representation of marginalised groups, particularly women. The paper contends that while it may be uncharitable to discount the incremental gains since the return to civil rule, the country is far from attaining the status of a consolidated democracy.
1999年标志着尼日利亚政治史上的一个分水岭,从军事统治过渡到文官统治,第四共和国开始成立。二十年后,这个国家不仅见证了最长时期的文官民主统治,而且实现了两个主要政党之间的权力交替,这是一个里程碑。然而,这预示着民主在巩固和倒退之间摇摆。因此,本文在两个主要政党的背景下,对尼日利亚二十年的民主化进行了质疑,选举的进行,以及边缘化群体(特别是妇女)的代表水平。该报告认为,尽管贬低自恢复文官统治以来的增量收益可能是无情的,但该国远未达到巩固民主的地位。
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引用次数: 0
Some are Empty Shells without Groundnuts 有些是没有花生的空壳
Pub Date : 2022-10-01 DOI: 10.20940/jae/2022/v21i2a6
Hellen Venganai, C. Dube
In view of the low levels of women’s representation in political office in Zimbabwe after the 2018 elections, questions arise regarding whether young people can, or will support female candidates in future elections. The youth is seen as a critical group that may shape the future of politics in Zimbabwe. We conducted a qualitative study to explore the views young people have of female political candidates, through focus group discussions and in-depth interviews with participants aged between 19 and 24 in the city of Masvingo. Drawing on social constructionism, poststructuralist feminism, and intersectionality analyses, the study found that young people in urban Masvingo have a predominantly negative perception of female candidates, although this is mediated by factors such as gender, class, sexuality, disability, and education. Nonetheless, some of the youth in Masvingo appear to be redefining or countering gendered societal norms and values, as they appear to accept women as political candidates.
鉴于2018年选举后津巴布韦妇女在政治职位中的代表性较低,出现了年轻人是否能够或将在未来的选举中支持女性候选人的问题。年轻人被视为可能影响津巴布韦政治未来的关键群体。我们进行了一项定性研究,探讨年轻人对女性政治候选人的看法,通过焦点小组讨论和深度访谈在马斯文戈市年龄在19至24岁之间的参与者。根据社会建构主义、后结构主义女性主义和交叉性分析,该研究发现,马斯文戈城市的年轻人对女性候选人的看法主要是负面的,尽管这是由性别、阶级、性取向、残疾和教育等因素介导的。尽管如此,Masvingo的一些年轻人似乎正在重新定义或反对性别社会规范和价值观,因为他们似乎接受女性作为政治候选人。
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引用次数: 0
Covid-19 Pandemic and Electoral Participation in Africa: Likelihood of Ugandans Voting in the 2021 "Pandemic Elections" 2019冠状病毒病大流行与非洲选举参与:乌干达人在2021年“大流行选举”中投票的可能性
Pub Date : 2022-10-01 DOI: 10.20940/jae/2022/v21i2a2
Martin Oswald
The COVID-19 pandemic wreaked havoc on political dynamics, as it did on other aspects of human life. The outbreak of the pandemic in 2020 almost brought the world to a standstill. This was mainly due to pandemic mitigation measures put in place, including social distancing. These actions greatly affected all levels of human interaction – politically, socially, and economically. Politically, it meant minimal or no electoral activities, no local or international face-to-face meetings, and the abuse of power. The restrictions saw elections postponed indefinitely in some countries, rescheduled or delayed in others, or held with minimal interaction elsewhere. Uganda is one of the few African countries that went ahead with holding elections in 2021 amid the pandemic. The study sought to examine and contribute to the broader understanding of the effects of COVID-19 on electoral participation by analysing available literature, Uganda’s electoral laws and reports, and Afrobarometer survey data collected in Uganda before and during the pandemic. The focus was on individual-level predictors of voting intentions by Ugandans: demographic, political, social, and economic. Descriptive and inferential analyses were performed on citizens’ likelihood of voting. The results demonstrate that party affiliation/identification and ethnic/regional identity are the strongest predictors of the likelihood of voting during the pandemic.
COVID-19大流行对政治动态和人类生活的其他方面造成了严重破坏。2020年大流行的爆发几乎使世界陷入停滞。这主要是由于采取了大流行缓解措施,包括保持社交距离。这些行为极大地影响了人类互动的各个层面——政治、社会和经济。在政治上,这意味着很少或没有选举活动,没有地方或国际面对面会议,以及滥用权力。这些限制导致一些国家的选举无限期推迟,另一些国家的选举重新安排或推迟,或在其他地方进行了最少的互动。乌干达是少数几个在疫情期间如期在2021年举行选举的非洲国家之一。该研究试图通过分析现有文献、乌干达的选举法和报告以及非洲晴雨表在疫情前和疫情期间在乌干达收集的调查数据,研究并促进对COVID-19对选举参与的影响的更广泛理解。重点是在个人层面上预测乌干达人的投票意向:人口、政治、社会和经济。对公民的投票可能性进行了描述性和推理性分析。结果表明,党派/认同和种族/地区认同是大流行期间投票可能性的最强预测因素。
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引用次数: 0
Gender Mainstreaming in Nigeria's 2019 General Elections: Evidence and Perspectives from Kano and Oyo states
Pub Date : 2022-10-01 DOI: 10.20940/jae/2022/v21i2a7
S. Omotoso, D. U. Enweremadu
Nigeria’s politics have been accused of gender imbalance since independence, and scholarship is replete with discussions of factors responsible for the low level of women’s participation and representation in politics, and women’s poor showing in electoral contests. Most studies of women’s political participation in Nigeria have taken a unidirectional approach of analysing or discussing women’s marginalisation in both appointive and elective offices. This study replaces the unidirectional approach with a multidirectional and multistakeholder analysis of the gender mainstreaming effort in Nigeria’s 2019 general election. With a focus on Kano and Oyo states, we argue that increased gender consciousness has not translated to any significant improvement in women’s representation in politics, thus implying that mainstreaming gender is of no effect if women’s participation in politics does not translate to a substantial representation of women in both number and influence.
自独立以来,尼日利亚的政治一直被指责性别失衡,学术界对妇女参政率低、妇女在选举中表现不佳的原因进行了大量讨论。大多数关于尼日利亚妇女政治参与的研究都采取了单向的方法来分析或讨论妇女在任命和选举职位上的边缘化情况。本研究对尼日利亚2019年大选中的性别主流化工作进行了多方位和多利益攸关方分析,取代了单向方法。以卡诺州和奥约州为重点,我们认为,性别意识的增强并没有转化为妇女参政代表性的任何重大改善,因此,这意味着,如果妇女参政没有转化为妇女在数量和影响力方面的实质性代表,性别主流化就没有任何效果。
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引用次数: 0
Elections and Electoral Processes in Somaliland: A Fading Democracy 索马里兰的选举和选举进程:衰落的民主
Pub Date : 2022-10-01 DOI: 10.20940/jae/2022/v21i2a4
Hamdi I. Abdulahi
After declaring its independence from Somalia in 1991, Somaliland has built a system to deliver basic services to its citizens. Despite having relatively good security, Somaliland has to date received no international recognition. With the presidential term extension made by the House of Elders (the Guurti) in October 2022, politics in Somaliland is at fever pitch. Public demonstrations, sporadic clashes, mass arrests, and hate speech add to a general sense of political disorder. Several factors have shaped the current outlook for democracy in Somaliland, including clan politics, a rent-seeking mentality, and weak institutional and legal frameworks. This study seeks to emphasise the contentious way in which elections have been held in Somaliland, and which have led to a loss of confidence in the country. The results, as witnessed in the 2017 presidential election, led to disputes, mass protests, and loss of life. Election time in Somaliland has therefore been a cause of concern for both political parties and the Somaliland Election Commission. In the battle for political leadership, the pre- and post-electoral aftermath has become conventional. But the main victim of the battle for political leadership has been the Somaliland Election Commission which is torn between contesting political parties.
1991年宣布脱离索马里独立后,索马里兰建立了一个为其公民提供基本服务的体系。尽管索马里兰的安全状况相对较好,但迄今为止还没有得到国际承认。随着2022年10月长老院(Guurti)决定延长总统任期,索马里兰的政治正处于白热化状态。公众示威、零星冲突、大规模逮捕和仇恨言论加剧了政治混乱的总体感觉。有几个因素影响了索马里兰目前的民主前景,包括宗族政治、寻租心态以及薄弱的制度和法律框架。这项研究试图强调在索马里兰举行的有争议的选举方式,这导致了对这个国家的信心丧失。正如2017年总统选举所见证的那样,结果导致了争端、大规模抗议和生命损失。因此,索马里兰的选举时间一直是各政党和索马里兰选举委员会关切的问题。在政治领导权的争夺中,选举前后的后果已成为惯例。但是这场政治领导权之争的主要受害者是索马里兰选举委员会,该委员会在各竞争政党之间四分五裂。
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引用次数: 0
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Journal of African Elections
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