LSTM Based Model For Apple Inc Stock Price Forecasting

Huaijin Shi, Gao Yuan, Zhuoran Lu, Qian Liang
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Abstract

The prediction of stock price is a popular and difficult topic that attracted and confused many investors over a long period of time. Because of the complex transaction market, there are a lot of risks when we do transactions. Until now, there are two schools about the stock market forecasting: fundamental analysis and technical analysis. The topic of this paper is to use the Recurrent Neural Networks to predict the stock price of Apple Inc in the future. In addition, the important unit of our RNN is Long Short-term Memory (LSTM), which introduces the memory cell, replacing traditional artificial neurons in the hidden layer of the network. Our Networks are able to associate memories and input remote in time, which could grasp the structure of data dynamically over time with high prediction capacity. To visualize our results, we draw three figures. We evaluated our model's performance on the dataset provided by the kaggle competition. The results of the experiment show that our method achieves a good performance compared with other machine learning methods. The RMSE of our model is 0.66 and 0.39 smaller than ridge regression and the neural network model respectively.
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基于LSTM的苹果公司股价预测模型
股票价格预测是一个热门而困难的话题,长期以来吸引了许多投资者,也让他们感到困惑。由于交易市场的复杂性,我们在进行交易时存在很多风险。到目前为止,股市预测主要有两大流派:基本面分析和技术面分析。本文的主题是利用递归神经网络来预测苹果公司未来的股价。此外,我们的RNN的重要单元是长短期记忆(LSTM),它引入了记忆单元,取代了网络隐藏层中传统的人工神经元。我们的网络能够将记忆和远程输入联系起来,随着时间的推移动态地掌握数据的结构,具有很高的预测能力。为了使我们的结果形象化,我们画了三个图。我们在kaggle竞赛提供的数据集上评估了模型的性能。实验结果表明,与其他机器学习方法相比,我们的方法取得了良好的性能。该模型的RMSE分别比脊回归模型和神经网络模型小0.66和0.39。
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