Persuasion and Ballot Propositions

S. Bowler, Stephen P. Nicholson
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Abstract

A long-standing criticism of voters in direct democracy elections is that they lack informed and stable opinions on policy issues and are therefore highly susceptible to campaigns. Voters are therefore not so much persuaded by substantive arguments to vote in a way that is consistent with fixed policy views but instead are pushed and pulled to vote for and against ballot measures since the foundations of their preferences rest on inconsistent and incomplete ideologies. Voters in ballot proposition contests are, in other words, persuaded all too easily to change their views. This chapter reviews that argument and presents evidence for a counter-argument that voters—at least in the US setting—are less open to persuasion than the literature often suggests.
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说服和投票主张
对直接民主选举中的选民长期存在的批评是,他们对政策问题缺乏知情和稳定的意见,因此极易受到竞选活动的影响。因此,选民不会被实质性的论据说服,以与固定的政策观点一致的方式投票,而是被推动或拉着投票支持或反对投票措施,因为他们的偏好建立在不一致和不完整的意识形态基础上。换句话说,在投票提案竞赛中,选民很容易被说服改变他们的观点。本章回顾了这一论点,并为一个相反的论点提供了证据,即选民——至少在美国——不像文献中经常显示的那样容易接受说服。
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