{"title":"SPEC model selection algorithm for ARCH models: an options pricing evaluation framework","authors":"Stavros Degiannakis, E. Xekalaki","doi":"10.1080/17446540701765258","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"A number of single ARCH model-based methods of predicting volatility are compared to Degiannakis and Xekalaki's (2005) poly-model standardized prediction error criterion (SPEC) algorithm method in terms of profits from trading actual options of the S&P500 index returns. The results show that traders using the SPEC for deciding which model's forecasts to use at any given point in time achieve the highest profits.","PeriodicalId":345744,"journal":{"name":"Applied Financial Economics Letters","volume":"39 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2008-10-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"1","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Applied Financial Economics Letters","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1080/17446540701765258","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
Abstract
A number of single ARCH model-based methods of predicting volatility are compared to Degiannakis and Xekalaki's (2005) poly-model standardized prediction error criterion (SPEC) algorithm method in terms of profits from trading actual options of the S&P500 index returns. The results show that traders using the SPEC for deciding which model's forecasts to use at any given point in time achieve the highest profits.
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