An Analysis of Determining Factors for Re-subscription after Early Termination of JooTaekYeonKeum

Byeng Kuk Kim, Byungkwon Lim
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Abstract

Amid the ultra-low birth rate and rapid aging population, the role and importance of the JooTaekYeonKeum in driving the improvement of retirement income and housing stability using housing is growing, but there are a number of cases of re-subscription after termination, with limited definitiveness. Therefore, this study analyzed the impact on re-subscription after early termination of JooTaekYeonKeum, targeting 6,200 actual cases of JooTaekYeonKeum handled by 12 domestic financial institutions. In addition, a multilateral analysis was conducted by categorizing the location characteristics of the JooTaekYeonKeum collateral (metropolitan and non-metropolitan areas), institutional characteristics of re-subscription of JooTaekYeonKeum (whether re-subscription is restricted), and characteristics of the relative age group (low and high). The main analysis results show that in the case of the housing price change rate variable, it was an important factor that had a positive (+) effect on re-subscription despite the age and collateral location classification. According to the equity theory of termination, the cost of re-subscription was excessive when the LTV was high, and the utility was small, which had a negative (-) effect on re-subscription. Re-subscription measures introduced to prevent adverse selection and to improve soundness were found to have actual policy effects, but there were limitations in controlling fluctuations in age and housing prices. Based on the results of the analysis, policy implications were suggested that elaborate estimation of the rate of change in house prices, fair and equitable calculation of collateral value between regions, and reinforcement of marketability free from institutional hurdles were suggested in calculating JooTaekYeonKeum(reverse mortgage) accounting model.
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“珠泽延金”提前终止后重新认购的决定因素分析
在超低出生率和高龄化加剧的情况下,珠泽延金在利用住宅提高退休收入和住宅稳定性方面的作用和重要性越来越大,但在终止后重新申购的事例也不少,但其确定性有限。因此,本研究以国内12家金融机构经手的6200件祖太延金实际事例为对象,分析了提前终止祖太延金后对再申购的影响。此外,还对珠太延琴的地域特征(首都圈和非首都圈)、珠太延琴再申购的制度特征(是否限制再申购)、相对年龄层特征(低、高)等进行了多方分析。主要分析结果表明,在房价变化率变量的情况下,无论年龄和抵押品位置分类如何,它都是对再认购产生正(+)影响的重要因素。根据终止权益理论,当LTV较高时,再认购成本过高,而效用较小,对再认购产生负(-)效应。为防止逆向选择和改善稳健性而采取的重新认购措施被认为具有实际的政策效果,但在控制年龄和房价波动方面存在局限性。根据分析结果,在计算“反向抵押贷款”会计模型时,提出了详细估计房价变动率、公平合理地计算地区间抵押品价值、加强没有制度障碍的市场性等政策建议。
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