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Analysis of Decision Factors in the Utilization of Closed School 利用封闭式学校的决策因素分析
Pub Date : 2024-02-28 DOI: 10.24957/hsr.2024.32.1.117
Myung-Hyun Kim, Yeon-Jae Lee, Youn-min Ko
Since 1982, when the Ministry of Education's small school consolidation policy was implemented, a total of 3,922 schools have been closed as of March 2023. Most of the previous studies have focused on analyzing cases and recommending how to utilize them. This study takes a quantitative approach by considering time to examine what factors are considered in the four types of management (non-utilization, self-utilization, lease and sale) after the decision to close. A panel probit model with sample selection bias was applied in three steps. The results showed that the age of the school and the total appraised value of the land and building are important factors in whether the school is utilized; land area, building area, land appraised value, population density, and population growth rate are important factors in whether the school is self-utilized; and land area, price, and financial independence are important factors in whether the school is sold. Through this study, we derived the selection factors that are important for the public sector, which must efficiently manage closed schools, and the private sector, which wants to earn profits by utilizing them and provide useful information for establishing policies necessary to efficiently manage closed schools.
自 1982 年教育部实施小规模学校合并政策以来,截至 2023 年 3 月,共有 3922 所学校被关闭。以往的研究大多侧重于分析案例,并就如何利用这些案例提出建议。本研究采用定量方法,通过考虑时间来研究在决定关闭后的四种管理方式(不利用、自行利用、租赁和出售)中考虑了哪些因素。研究采用了带有样本选择偏差的面板 probit 模型,分三步进行。结果表明,学校的校龄、土地和建筑物的评估总值是影响学校是否被利用的重要因素;土地面积、建筑面积、土地评估价值、人口密度和人口增长率是影响学校是否被自用的重要因素;土地面积、价格和财务独立性是影响学校是否被出售的重要因素。通过这项研究,我们得出了对于必须有效管理封闭式学校的公共部门和希望通过利用封闭式学校获得利润的私营部门来说非常重要的选择因素,并为制定有效管理封闭式学校所需的政策提供了有用的信息。
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引用次数: 0
A Study on the Preferred Residential Models of Middle-Aged and Elderly Households after Retirement 关于中老年家庭退休后首选居住模式的研究
Pub Date : 2024-02-28 DOI: 10.24957/hsr.2024.32.1.61
Kyoung Mi Ham, Jeong-Ran Lee
This study conducted a survey of middle-aged and elderly households aged 55 or older to study their preferences for post-retirement residential models, and asked to choose their preferred model among four residential models(elderly welfare housing(silver town), community housing, and in-home service and living at home). The analysis results are summarized as follows. First, different residential models were selected depending on the lifestyle, assets, monthly income, and demographic characteristics of middle-aged and elderly households, which shows that the development and supply of various residential models is necessary. Second, in order to provide a practical residential model after retirement, it is necessary to present alternatives by considering the level of housing costs that middle-class households can pay. Third, as the proportion of respondents who did not want to move to senior housing was high, there is a need to expand in-home service that allow people to receive living support and health care services while living at home. These results can provide implications as basic research when establishing senior housing policies, and are expected to contribute to expanding housing choice opportunities for middle-aged and elderly households.
本研究对 55 岁及以上的中老年家庭进行了一项调查,研究他们对退休后居住模式的偏好,并要求他们在四种居住模式(老年福利房(银发小镇)、社区住房、居家服务和居家养老)中选择自己喜欢的模式。分析结果总结如下。首先,根据中老年家庭的生活方式、资产、月收入和人口特征,选择了不同的居住模式,这说明开发和供应多种居住模式是必要的。其次,为了提供切实可行的退休后居住模式,有必要考虑中产阶级家庭能够支付的住房成本水平,提出备选方案。第三,由于不愿意搬到老年公寓的受访者比例较高,有必要扩大居家服务,让人们在家中生活的同时也能得到生活支持和医疗保健服务。这些结果可以作为制定老年住房政策的基础研究,并有望为扩大中老年家庭的住房选择机会做出贡献。
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引用次数: 0
Analysis of the Relationship Between Apartment Sale Price, Jeonse Price, Monthly Rent Price Volatility Determinants: Focusing on the Loan Interest Rate 公寓售价、全价、月租金价格波动决定因素之间的关系分析:关注贷款利率
Pub Date : 2024-02-28 DOI: 10.24957/hsr.2024.32.1.87
Giyoung Yaung, Gyo Eon Sim
In this study, the financial time series trend is predicted using Hamilton's Markov regime-switching model to observe the factors of apartment sales, jeonse, and monthly rent prices that change from time to time from a Markov perspective. Inflation since the coronavirus pandemic has pushed the United States interest rate higher, and South Korea is also raising its benchmark interest rate to stabilize the economy. Due to the impact of this increase in the base rate, the mortgage interest rate has also risen, which has a chain effect on the sale price of apartments, the price of jeonse, and the price of monthly rent. Changes in the trend over the long term can be interpreted as exogenous shocks, economic measures, or structural changes. As a result of the Markov model analysis, apartment sales prices, jeonse prices, and monthly rent prices all showed a higher probability of maintaining a recession period, and among them, the recession period for apartment sales price, and jeonse prices was relatively more likely to last longer. In the case of the expected duration period, the duration of the depression phase of apartment sales prices and jeonse prices was similar, while the duration of the depression phase of apartment monthly rent prices was short and highly volatile. As a cause of volatility, loan interest rates were found to be a determinant.
在本研究中,利用汉密尔顿的马尔可夫制度转换模型对金融时间序列趋势进行预测,从马尔可夫角度观察公寓销售、jeonse 和月租金价格等因素的时空变化。冠状病毒大流行以来的通货膨胀推高了美国的利率,韩国也提高了基准利率以稳定经济。受基准利率上调的影响,房贷利率也随之上调,这对公寓的销售价格、jeonse 的价格以及月租金的价格产生了连锁效应。长期趋势的变化可以解释为外来冲击、经济措施或结构变化。从马尔可夫模型分析的结果来看,公寓销售价格、jeonse 价格和月租金价格都有较高的概率维持衰退期,其中公寓销售价格和 jeonse 价格的衰退期相对更长。在预期持续期方面,公寓销售价格和公寓月租价格的萧条期持续时间相近,而公寓月租价格的萧条期持续时间较短且波动较大。作为波动的原因,贷款利率是一个决定因素。
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引用次数: 0
Housing Conditions and Demand for Youth Households by Life-Cycle Changes: Using the 2002 Survey on Youth Living 按生命周期变化划分的青年家庭住房条件和需求:利用 2002 年青年生活调查
Pub Date : 2024-02-28 DOI: 10.24957/hsr.2024.32.1.31
Myoungsub Choi
The purpose of this paper is to identify the housing status of young households by life cycle, and to analyze changes in housing demand for young households in the future. For this purpose, this study uses the 「2022 Survey on Youth Living」 that was recently disclosed by the Office for Government Policy Coordination. The main analysis results of this study are as follows. First, there are many unmarried youths living with their parents. However, as young people in this type of household are not living independently, they are excluded from the housing policy for young households. Second, young single-person households currently make up most of youth-independent households, and their housing situation is relatively poor. Moreover, young single-person households appear to be a type that requires continued attention because it is expected that unmarried young people currently living with their parents will diversify into young single-person households in the future. Third, based on the estimated number of households and housing demand by the life-cycle of young households, the total number of young households decreased in the long term. Still, the proportion of young single-person households and young couple households increased. Specifically, If the differentiation of young households is activated, the total number of households and the housing demand of young households decreases.
本文旨在按生命周期识别青年家庭的住房状况,并分析未来青年家庭住房需求的变化。为此,本研究采用了政府政策协调办公室最近公布的 "2022 年青年生活状况调查"。本研究的主要分析结果如下。首先,有很多未婚青年与父母同住。然而,由于这类家庭中的青年并非独立生活,因此他们被排除在青年家庭住房政策之外。其次,单身青年家庭目前占青年独立家庭的大多数,他们的住房条件相对较差。此外,单身青年家庭似乎是一个需要继续关注的类型,因为预计目前与父母同住的未婚青年将来会多样化,成为单身青年家庭。第三,根据按青年家庭生命周期估算的家庭数量和住房需求,从长期来看,青年家庭的总数有所减少。但是,年轻单身家庭和年轻夫妇家庭的比例却有所增加。具体来说,如果青年家庭的分化被激活,青年家庭的家庭总数和住房需求就会减少。
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引用次数: 0
Social Network Analysis of Real Estate Transactions in Korea 韩国房地产交易的社会网络分析
Pub Date : 2024-02-28 DOI: 10.24957/hsr.2024.32.1.5
Seung Chul Noh
This study analyzes the characteristics of real estate transactions from 2017 to 2022, distinguishing between transactions within the region(si, gun, gu), adjacent regions, and non-adjacent regions. It uses social network analysis methods to derive the characteristics of the network and the actors (si. gun, gu). The research results show that about 50~55% of the collective building transactions occur within the region, about 15% between adjacent regions, and about 30% between non-adjacent regions. As a result of analyzing transactions between non-adjacent regions through a network approach, most regions belong to one real estate transaction network centered on the metropolitan area, and many regions can influence each other in real estate transactions. The significance of this study lies in presenting a new approach to real estate transactions by analyzing real estate transactions between cities and counties in Korea through a social network approach, and deriving policy implications through this.
本研究分析了 2017 年至 2022 年房地产交易的特征,区分了区域内(si、gun、gu)、相邻区域和非相邻区域的交易。它利用社会网络分析方法得出网络和行为主体(si、gun、gu)的特征。研究结果表明,约 50% 至 55% 的集体建设交易发生在区域内,约 15% 发生在相邻区域间,约 30% 发生在非相邻区域间。通过网络方法分析非相邻区域间的交易,发现大部分区域属于一个以都市圈为中心的房地产交易网络,许多区域在房地产交易中可以相互影响。本研究的意义在于通过社会网络法分析韩国各市郡之间的房地产交易,提出了一种新的房地产交易方法,并由此得出政策启示。
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引用次数: 0
Reconceptualizing Conventional Subdivided-Units and New Empirical Evidences 重新认识传统的细分单元和新的经验证据
Pub Date : 2023-11-30 DOI: 10.24957/hsr.2023.31.4.33
Mee-Youn Jin, Kyeong-Mi Kim
The aim of this paper is to redefine the concept of ‘conventional subdivided-units’ and identify households living in the revised subdivided-units using empirical data. The term ‘subdivided-units’ with low-end small rental often has been used in policy language in official documents so far but it has yet to be formulated. In this paper, considering objectification and measurability, the “subdivision-shaped units” that modified the ‘conventional subdivided-units’ was defined as “dwelling where the area of indoor space used by a household for residential uses is less than 7㎡ or those units that are not self-contained. Empirical results show that about 210,000 households reside in the subdivision-shaped units as modified subdivided-units and 46.6% of them live in types similar to conventional subdivided-units (on a monthly rent basis with no-deposit and costing less than 300,000 won per month). The most similar to the overall characteristics of conventional subdivided-units were Gosiwon accommodations or lodgings. In light of recent global discourses, the subdivision-shaped units can be regarded as informal housing in Korean context. Although it is a cheap alternative for the vulnerable who have been priced out of formal housing, it continuously poses a health and safety threat to tenants. For more improvements, it is necessary to establish a reliable data infrastructure that can catch up with the real figures in terms of hiddenness >, diversity, and complicated hybridity. Based on such data, adequate housing standards should be made into rules in the national policy-level.
本文旨在重新定义 "传统劏房 "的概念,并利用实证数据识别居住在经修订的劏房内的住户。低端小户型 "劏房 "一词在官方文件的政策用语中经常出现,但至今仍未形成规范。本文考虑到客观性和可测性,将 "传统'劏房'"改头换面的 "劏房 "定义为 "住户用于居住的室内空间面积小于 7 平方米或非独立单元的住宅"。 实证结果显示,约有 21 万户家庭居住在改良劏房的分户型单元中,其中 46.6% 的家庭居住在与传统劏房类似的类型中(月租、无押金、月租低于 30 万韩元)。与传统劏房整体特征最相似的是高士院住宿或民宿。根据最近的全球讨论,在韩国,"劏房 "可被视为非正规住房。虽然对于被正规住房挤出的弱势群体来说,这是一种廉价的替代方式,但它仍然对租户的健康和安全构成威胁。为了进一步改进,有必要建立可靠的数据基础设施,以便在隐蔽性>、多样性和复杂的混合性方面赶上真实数字。在这些数据的基础上,适当的住房标准应成为国家政策层面的规则。
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引用次数: 0
A Study on the Impact of Hospitality Property Prices: A Comparison between Pre-COVID-19 and Ongoing Period 关于酒店物业价格影响的研究:第 19 次鸦片战争前与当前时期的比较
Pub Date : 2023-11-30 DOI: 10.24957/hsr.2023.31.4.109
Ji Seon Lee, Yeon-Jae Lee, Seong-Won Lee
This study investigated the factors influencing hospitality property prices in the context of COVID-19. Previous research primarily focused on luxury hotels, and it lacks a comprehensive analysis of the entire hospitality sector. The study analyzed transaction data of 586 hospitality properties nationwide from 2018 to 2021. We model all the regional economic, physical, locational, and market characteristics. We use pooled OLS specification with all the interacting variables with COVID-19 period (2020 and 2021) dummy variables. We found that both the residential areas dummy and annual growth of the apartment price index showed positive signs during the COVID-19 period. This study shows that hospitality properties were sold during the period as a residential alternative, such as conversion to officetel.
本研究以 COVID-19 为背景,调查了影响酒店物业价格的因素。以往的研究主要集中于豪华酒店,缺乏对整个酒店业的全面分析。本研究分析了 2018 年至 2021 年全国 586 个酒店业物业的交易数据。我们建立了所有区域经济、物理、区位和市场特征的模型。我们使用集合 OLS 规范,将所有交互变量与 COVID-19 期间(2020 年和 2021 年)虚拟变量相结合。 我们发现,在 COVID-19 期间,住宅区虚拟变量和公寓价格指数的年增长率均显示为正数。这项研究表明,在此期间,酒店物业作为住宅替代品被出售,如改建为办公楼。
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引用次数: 0
How Parental Socioeconomic Status Influences the Time and Price to Child’s First Homeownership 父母的社会经济地位如何影响子女首次置业的时间和价格
Pub Date : 2023-11-30 DOI: 10.24957/hsr.2023.31.4.131
Hosung Woo, Ja-Hoon Koo
Intergenerational wealth transfers manifest themselves in the form of parental support during the process of a child’s first home purchase. The level of parental support varies according to the socioeconomic status of the parents. This study focuses on how parental socioeconomic status affects the time to purchase and price of a child’s first home. Our results show that, first, parental economic status, especially parental total wealth, reduces the time to purchase a child’s first home; second, parental total wealth matter when the child’s first home price is in the lower quantiles. However, in the higher quantiles, economic status such as parental total assets, current home value, and total debt, as well as social status such as parental education and occupation, also mattered. This suggests that the wealth gap between children’s generations due to differences in parental support may arise from the purchase price rather than the time it takes to purchase a first home. Policy efforts, such as stabilizing housing prices, are needed to mitigate this phenomenon.
代际财富转移表现为父母在子女首次购房过程中的支持。父母的支持程度因父母的社会经济地位而异。本研究的重点是父母的社会经济地位如何影响子女首次购房的时间和价格。我们的研究结果表明:首先,父母的经济地位,尤其是父母的总财富,会缩短子女购买第一套住房的时间;其次,当子女的第一套住房价格处于较低的量级时,父母的总财富很重要。然而,在较高的量化值中,父母的总资产、当前房屋价值和总债务等经济状况以及父母的教育和职业等社会地位也很重要。这表明,子女几代人之间因父母支持程度不同而产生的贫富差距可能源于购房价格,而非购买第一套住房所需的时间。要缓解这一现象,需要采取稳定房价等政策措施。
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引用次数: 0
The Landscape of Inequality in Residential Capitalism: Focusing on the Marginalized Impacts of Income Inequality on Housing Inequality 住宅资本主义中的不平等现象:关注收入不平等对住房不平等的边缘化影响
Pub Date : 2023-11-30 DOI: 10.24957/hsr.2023.31.4.67
Hoobin Lee, Dasom Hong
The scholarship of residential capitalism contends that capitalist inequality was reshaped centering around housing problems. However, the importance of housing inequality, particularly compared to conventional income inequality, should be identified to demonstrate the argument. If people cannot purchase houses and accumulate assets due to low income, housing inequality is only the result and extension of income inequality. Thus, this study contrasts income and housing inequalities using the concept of housing income, a measure of monetizing the relative benefits of homeownership to other tenures. The results suggest that the housing income of Chonsei households is not higher than that of rental households, and the 2nd to 4th income quintiles have lower housing income than the 1st income quintile. This implies that high income cannot guarantee a dominant position in the landscape of housing inequality in South Korea. Moreover, the result implies that the housing tenure hierarchy (homeownership-Chonsei-rent), which traditionally intermediated housing and income inequalities, does not work anymore. The differentiation of housing inequality from income inequality is especially prominent in the 2nd to 4th income quintiles of Chonsei households. These households utilized debts, called Chonsei deposit loans, to keep up with the rising Chonsei prices, but it aggravated interest burdens and reduced Chonsei households’ monetary benefits in housing income. In conclusion, although Chonsei households could sustain their housing tenure via debts, it closed the gap between Chonsei and rent.
研究住宅资本主义的学者认为,资本主义的不平等是以住房问题为中心重塑的。然而,住房不平等的重要性,尤其是与传统的收入不平等相比,应予以明确,以证明这一论点。如果人们因收入低而无法购买住房和积累资产,那么住房不平等只是收入不平等的结果和延伸。因此,本研究使用住房收入的概念对收入和住房不平等进行了对比,住房收入是将住房所有权与其他使用权的相对利益货币化的一种措施。结果表明,Chonsei 家庭的住房收入并不比租房家庭高,第二至第四收入五分位数的住房收入低于第一收入五分位数。这意味着,高收入并不能保证在韩国住房不平等的格局中占据主导地位。此外,这一结果还意味着,传统上作为住房和收入不平等中介的住房保有权等级制度(自有住房-世代租房)已经失效。住房不平等与收入不平等的分化在第 2 至第 4 个收入五分位数的 Chonsei 家庭中尤为突出。这些家庭利用被称为 Chonsei 存款贷款的债务来追赶 Chonsei 房价的上涨,但这加重了利息负担,减少了 Chonsei 家庭在住房收入方面的货币收益。总之,尽管 Chonsei 家庭可以通过债务维持其住房使用权,但这缩小了 Chonsei 和房租之间的差距。
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引用次数: 0
Impact of Residential Environment Infrastructure on Housing Jeonse Price 居住环境基础设施对住房价格的影响
Pub Date : 2023-11-30 DOI: 10.24957/hsr.2023.31.4.5
Jin-Woo Kim
This study aimed to confirm how the residential environment infrastructure affects the jeonse price of housing for the purpose of pure residence.Among various residential environment infrastructures, subway-related variables for transportation infrastructure and park-related variables for living infrastructure were reflected, focusing on the location of the house. Based on this, differences by housing type were additionally confirmed. As a result, it was found that the closer to the subway, the higher the housing jeonse price, and the closer to the park, the lower the price. By housing type, apartments respond most sensitively to the distance from the subway, and in the impact analysis with parks, it was found that the closer the APT, the higher the housing price, and the closer the others, the lower or not affect the housing price. Comparing with previous studies centering on housing sales price, the impact on transportation infrastructure showed a similar effect, while park infrastructure showed completely opposite results, confirming that the influence reflected on the housing sales price and the jeonse price is different. Through this study, it was confirmed how the supply of infrastructure for the purpose of improving the residential environment is reflected in the residential cost, and the results show how urban policies should be planned in response to rapidly changing households.
本研究旨在确认居住环境基础设施如何影响以纯居住为目的的住房的价格。在各种居住环境基础设施中,反映了交通基础设施中与地铁相关的变量和生活基础设施中与公园相关的变量,重点关注住房的位置。在此基础上,还确认了住房类型的差异。 结果发现,越靠近地铁,房价越高,越靠近公园,房价越低。从住房类型来看,公寓对地铁距离的反应最为敏感,而在对公园的影响分析中发现,越靠近 APT,房价越高,而越靠近其他地方,房价越低或不受影响。与以往以住房销售价格为中心的研究相比,对交通基础设施的影响显示出相似的效果,而对公园基础设施的影响则显示出完全相反的结果,这证实了住房销售价格和房价所反映的影响是不同的。 通过这项研究,确认了以改善居住环境为目的的基础设施供应是如何反映在居住成本中的,研究结果表明了应如何规划城市政策以应对快速变化的家庭。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Korean Association for Housing Policy Studies
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