Power Grid transient stability prediction method based on improved CNN under big data background

J. Zhou, Mukun Li, Liyang Du, Zihan Xi
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Abstract

In order to cure the crux of low accuracy of traditional PG transient stability prediction (PGTSP) methods, a PGTSP method based on improved Convolutional Neural Network(CNN) is proposed under big data. First, the theoretical framework of state assessment of Power Grid (PG) is constructed according to analysis of historical big data in PG. Based on data source, big data classification, big data cleaning and processing, PG status assessment is realized. Then, by selecting a variety of PG traits as the multi-input trait space of CNN model. By using multi-channel idea to independently analyze and fuse various features, a multi-channel multi-trait fusion CNN(MC-MF-FCNN) model is constructed and the accurate prediction of grid transient stability is achieved. Finally, the root mean square error(RMSE), false alarm rate, false alarm rate and accuracy rate of the proposed algorithm and the other two algorithms under the same conditions are compared and analyzed through simulation experiments. The results show that RMSE, false alarm rate and miss alarm rate of the proposed algorithm are the smallest and the accuracy is the highest. The highest accuracy rate within 9 cycles after the fault is 96.83 %, and the minimum RMSE, missed alarm rate and false alarm rate are 0.196, 2.15% and 1.32%, respectively. The performance is better than the other two comparison algorithms.
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大数据背景下基于改进CNN的电网暂态稳定预测方法
针对传统PG暂态稳定性预测(PGTSP)方法精度低的问题,提出了一种基于改进卷积神经网络(CNN)的大数据下PGTSP预测方法。首先,通过对电网历史大数据的分析,构建了电网状态评估的理论框架,基于数据源、大数据分类、大数据清洗与处理,实现了电网状态评估。然后,通过选择多种PG特征作为CNN模型的多输入特征空间。利用多通道思想独立分析和融合各种特征,构建了多通道多特征融合CNN(MC-MF-FCNN)模型,实现了对电网暂态稳定的准确预测。最后,通过仿真实验对本文算法与其他两种算法在相同条件下的均方根误差(RMSE)、虚警率、虚警率和准确率进行了比较分析。结果表明,该算法的RMSE、虚警率和漏警率最小,准确率最高。故障发生后9个周期内的最高准确率为96.83%,最小RMSE、漏警率和虚警率分别为0.196、2.15%和1.32%。性能优于其他两种比较算法。
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