Gravity model approach for exports analysis of Republic of Moldova between 2010 and 2021

Xenia Migova
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Abstract

This paper explores the effects of determinants of bilateral trade on export flows of Republic of Moldova during last decade in the framework of gravity model. Being a structural model with solid theoretical foundations it proves that markets are linked and changes in one partner country can cause changes in trade performance of another partner country. The variables include trade partner’s GDP, economic distance, and Association Agreement membership. Specifically, the model relies on a fixed effect panel estimation for explaining the export flows of the Republic of Moldova. In order to check the viability of the gravity equation, there are executed statistical tests. Based on the analysis, there are provided policy recommendations for trade policy.
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2010年至2021年摩尔多瓦共和国出口分析的重力模型方法
本文在引力模型的框架下,探讨了近十年双边贸易决定因素对摩尔多瓦共和国出口流动的影响。作为一个具有坚实理论基础的结构模型,它证明了市场是相互联系的,一个伙伴国的变化会引起另一个伙伴国贸易绩效的变化。变量包括贸易伙伴的GDP、经济距离和联盟协议成员。具体来说,该模型依赖于固定效应面板估计来解释摩尔多瓦共和国的出口流量。为了检验重力方程的可行性,进行了统计检验。在此基础上,提出了贸易政策的政策建议。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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